Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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WA-06 House election: Emily Randall vote percent
The odds
64.05%median
54%72%
Median 64.05%Middle half 61.27% – 66.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.12% on Oct 22, 64.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 58% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 60% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| At least 62% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 64% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 66% | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| At least 68% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 70% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Emily Randall
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In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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Tariffs the subject of roundtable discussion with Congresswoman RandallPort Angeles – “Uncertainty” was the word of the day Wednesday when Congresswoman Emily Randall met with local business leaders to talk about the effects of tariffs on their operations. Local forest product exporters and importers are… - Press Release: Randall and Jayapal Lead Members in Demanding Answers on NWDC ContractWashington lawmakers seek transparency over federal plans to buy detention centers and extend Northwest Detention Center operations. Lawmakers seek details on detention-center purchases: Reps. Emily Randall and Pramila Jayapal said they…
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Randall, Jayapal Lead PNW Members in Demanding Answers on NWDC ContractSEATTLE, W.A. — U.S. Representatives Emily Randall (WA-06) and Pramila Jayapal (WA-07) led Members from Washington and Oregon in demanding answers and transparency into ongoing efforts by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and… - Here’s how WA 6th District congressional candidates are funding their campaignsMoney and institutional backing tell two very different stories in the race for Washington’s 6th Congressional District. Campaign finance records show incumbent U.S. Rep. Emily Randall (D) commanding a substantial fundraising lead backed…
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Trans athletes, school sports: Where two WA congressional candidates standElection Day is less than a month away — and voters across a large section of Western Washington soon will decide between two congressional candidates with opposing stances on transgender girls competing in school sports. Washington’s 6th… -
U.S. Rep. Randall details concerns about Tacoma ICE detention centerPeople who monitor immigration enforcement activity in Washington state say there has been an uptick over the last several weeks. According to the Deportation Data Project, based at the University of California Berkeley and UCLA, ICE… -
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Crime, police numbers, gun reform: WA congressional candidates tackle safetyIn less than a month, voters across six counties in Western Washington will choose between two candidates with drastically different approaches to public safety. Two candidates are running for Washington’s sixth congressional district… - Tacoma’s detention facility, role of ICE divide WA congressional candidatesThere are few places that draw as much heat and controversy in Pierce County as the Northwest ICE Processing Center in Tacoma. Now, it’s at the center of the fight for one of Washington’s congressional seats. U.S. Rep. Emily Randall (D) is…
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Candidate Teresa Fox on Her Congressional Race and PlansTeresa Fox has spent her life in Bremerton, where her family’s roots in the automotive industry stretch back nearly 90 years. Now, the longtime Kitsap County resident is drawing on three decades of professional experience in workplace… -
Congressman Don Davis Joins Congressional Ferry Caucus to Advocate for Eastern North Carolina’s Coastal Communities1123 Longworth House Office Building, Washington, DC 20515 (202) 225-3101 WASHINGTON, D.C. — Congressman Don Davis (NC-01) announced he has joined the Congressional Ferry Caucus. As a member of the caucus, he will join 17 of his colleagues…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions