Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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WA-02 House election: Rick Larsen vote percent
The odds
66.17%median
58%78%
Median 66.17%Middle half 63.13% – 69.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 66.17% on Oct 25, 66.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 62% | 84% | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | ||
| At least 64% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 66% | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| At least 68% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 70% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | ||
| At least 72% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 74% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 76% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Rick Larsen
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Larsen, Dexter introduce bill to stop Trump admin from rolling back veterans’ benefits||| FROM THE OFFICE OF U.S. REP. RICK LARSEN ||| WASHINGTON, D.C. – Yesterday, U.S. Representatives Rick Larsen (WA-02) and Maxine Dexter, M.D. (OR-03) introduced the Veteran Breast Cancer Fairness Act to restore male breast cancer as a… - Press Release: Rep. Rick Larsen Says New CBP Rule Could Limit Access to Lower-Cost MedicationsRepresentative Rick Larsen’s press release says he helped delay a CBP rule that could raise prescription drug costs. Larsen posts national security update: U.S. Rep. Rick Larsen’s National Security news page features a press release saying…
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GOP-led House advances highway bill that slaps fees of EV owners after years of ducking gas taxesThe bill also impose a fee on EV owners for their vehicles putting excessive well and tear on roads. A long-awaited bill spending $580 billion on American highways and transportation infrastructure is on track to hit the U.S. House floor… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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Boeing 737 Max 10Post Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Rep. Rick Larsen, D-Wash., speaks at an event celebrating the announcement of the certification of Boeing's 737 Max 10 aircraft Tuesday, Oct. 20… -
Midterms could bring House T&I turnover as panel takes on FEMA, surface transportation billIf Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the midterm elections as expected, it would mean new leadership on the powerful House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee as the panel shapes the next major surface… -
Progress stalls on Lynden, Sumas border crossing upgradesFunding for the upgrades were allocated by Congress in 2021. LYNDEN, WA (MyBellinghamNow.com) – Planned upgrades to a pair of Whatcom County border crossing stations appear to be in limbo. Senator Patty Murray and Rep. Rick Larsen released… -
Rick Larsen: 2nd Congressional District candidateWHATCOM COUNTY, WA (MyBellinghamNow.com) – U.S. Rep. Rick Larsen, Democrat, is defending his seat as congressperson representing the 2nd district for Washington, running against Republican Edwin Feller. If re-elected, this would be… -
Industry stakeholders are urged to prepare for potential Congressional power shift in 2027Changes are coming to Washington with Democrats hoping Election Day results in Democratic control of one or both chambers of Congress following the 2026 midterm elections. That could usher in an expansive oversight agenda focused on the… - Larsen visits Blaine Harbor, talks fueling station fundingU.S. Rep. Rick Larsen visited Blaine Harbor Friday to speak with Port of Bellingham officials about the port’s plans for an in-water fueling station. Larsen’s visit to Blaine Harbor comes about a month before the 2026 election, in which…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions