Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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WA-02 House election: Edwin Feller vote percent
The odds
33.17%median
22%42%
Median 33.17%Middle half 30.19% – 36.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 32.57% on Oct 19, 33.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 26% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 28% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 30% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 32% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 34% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 36% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 38% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 40% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Edwin Feller
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In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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Edwin Feller: 2nd Congressional District candidateWHATCOM COUNTY, WA (MyBellinghamNow.com) – Edwin Feller is running as a Republican challenger for the U.S. House of Representatives. If elected, he would represent Washington’s 2nd Congressional District and unseat incumbent Democrat Rick… - Larsen visits Blaine Harbor, talks fueling station fundingU.S. Rep. Rick Larsen visited Blaine Harbor Friday to speak with Port of Bellingham officials about the port’s plans for an in-water fueling station. Larsen’s visit to Blaine Harbor comes about a month before the 2026 election, in which…
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Candidates take part in Oct. 7 forum at Stanwood Middle SchoolIsland County Sheriff Rick Felici speaks at a candidates forum Oct. 7 at Stanwood Middle School. The Stanwood Middle School gymnasium was filled Wednesday, Oct. 7, for a candidates forum held in advance of the Nov. 3 general election… -
Rick Larsen: 2nd Congressional District candidateWHATCOM COUNTY, WA (MyBellinghamNow.com) – U.S. Rep. Rick Larsen, Democrat, is defending his seat as congressperson representing the 2nd district for Washington, running against Republican Edwin Feller. If re-elected, this would be… -
Ballots mailed for Nov. 3 general election in Whatcom CountyRaces include U.S. House, state House, state Senate, county prosecutor and more. Interviews and forums with ballot information linked. WHATCOM COUNTY, WA (MyBellinghamNow.com) – General election ballots are now out in Whatcom County. The… -
Cozy in his seat, Larsen directs focus and dollars to helping Dems win back HouseThis election reporting is provided free to all readers as a public service by your locally owned Cascadia Daily News. Thanks for supporting truly local news by donating to CDN or subscribing here. Incumbent U.S. District 2 Congressman…
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10.5%median
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13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions