Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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WA-01 House election: Mary Silva vote percent
The odds
31.14%median
22%40%
Median 31.14%Middle half 28.61% – 33.72%
How the odds have moved
Median: 30.55% on Oct 19, 31.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 26% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 28% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 30% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | ||
| At least 32% | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | ||
| At least 34% | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | ||
| At least 36% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 38% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Mary Silva
Search ›-
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
Democratic Rep. DelBene says cost of living could help flip the US HouseAs the 2026 midterm elections approach, Democrats are hoping voter frustrations with the cost of living and an unpopular war in Iran will help them win back control of both the U.S. House and Senate. Washington’s 1st District Rep. Suzan… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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ELECTION 2026: Bellevue’s voting guide for the November candidatesPublished 5:00 pm Wednesday, October 14, 2026 All ballots must be dropped off by 8:00 p.m. on Nov. 3. The 2026 midterm general election is upon us; the voters’ pamphlets have been released and ballots will be mailed out this week, so here… -
ELECTION 2026: November voting guide for KirklandPublished 5:00 pm Wednesday, October 14, 2026 All ballots must be dropped off by 8:00 p.m. on Nov. 3. The 2026 midterm general election is upon us; the voters’ pamphlets have been released and ballots will be mailed out this week, so here… -
ELECTION 2026: November voting guide for Redmond’s candidatesPublished 5:00 pm Wednesday, October 14, 2026 All ballots must be dropped off by 8:00 p.m. on Nov. 3. The 2026 midterm general election is upon us; the voters’ pamphlets have been released and ballots will be mailed out this week, so here…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions