Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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VT-AL House election: Gerald Malloy vote percent
The odds
27.44%median
20%40%
Median 27.44%Middle half 25.26% – 29.71%
How the odds have moved
Median: 26.35% on Oct 19, 27.44% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 24% | 87% | ▼ 1 | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| At least 26% | 68% | ▼ 1 | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| At least 28% | 43% | ▼ 1 | 38¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 400 |
| At least 30% | 22% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 32% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 34% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 36% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 38% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VT-AL House, Gerald Malloy
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St. Albans City School students lead candidate forumVermont State House candidates Rep. Jack Bigham, Rep. Joe Luneau, Suzy Kenyon and Zach Scheffler, along with U.S. House candidate Gerald Malloy, participated in a forum run by students Oct. 20 at St. Albans City School. ST. ALBANS CITY —… -
In his third congressional race, Republican Gerald Malloy is looking for middle groundPrepare for Vermont’s Nov. 3 general election with VTDigger’s 2026 Election Guide. Get the latest reporting from towns across Vermont delivered each morning in Daily Digger, our free newsletter. It’s been six years and two big losses since… -
Vermont Congressional candidates trade barbs during televised debateThe candidates running for Vermont’s sole congressional seat traded barbs during a debate Thursday evening on WCAX-TV. The hour-long debate tackled a number of issues, including the war in Iran, gas prices, immigration and tariffs. While… -
Malloy vies for Balint’s seat in CongressThis story was first published by The Times Argus on Oct. 9. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint and former U.S. Senate candidate, Republican Gerald Malloy, are the two major party candidates looking to represent Vermont in the U.S. House… -
Balint, Malloy face off in US House WCAX debateSOUTH BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - Vermont’s candidates for the U.S. House faced off in a WCAX debate Thursday evening, sparring over national issues including immigration, artificial intelligence, the war in Iran, housing and affordability… -
WATCH LIVE: Balint, Malloy to face off in U.S. House debateThe Vermont candidates running for U.S. House will debate on WCAX at 7 p.m. The 6 p.m. news will be shortened and the CBS Evening News will start at 6:30 p.m. BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - The Vermont candidates running for U.S. House will face… - PROGRAMMING NOTE: Congressional debate to shorten 6 p.m. news, CBS Evening News starts at 6:30 p.m.WCAX BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - Because of coverage of the Vermont congressional debate on Thursday, the WCAX 6 p.m. news will be shortened, and the CBS Evening News will start at 6:30 p.m. You can watch the Vermont congressional debate…
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What’s on the Ballot in Vermont?Abolish all UVM fraternities now Vermont protesting’s multi-cause of doom Several companies no-show at fall career fair ahead of protests A disturbing college phenomenon: Sex with a roommate in the room UVM doesn’t care about your… -
New poll shows Gov. Scott leading Amanda Janoo by 10 pointsHome / State News / New poll shows Gov. Scott leading Amanda Janoo by 10 points The poll comes after last week’s UNH data showed Scott and Janoo in a ‘statistical tie’ Gov. Phil Scott holds a 10-point lead over progressive Democrat Amanda…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
Median 45.8%Middle half 43.1% – 48.59%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.55%median
0%16%
Median 10.55%Middle half 8.3% – 13.35%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions