Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-09 House election: Morgan Griffith vote percent
The odds
66.68%median
58%78%
Median 66.68%Middle half 64.16% – 69.14%
How the odds have moved
Median: 67.42% on Oct 20, 66.68% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 62% | 90% | ▼ 2 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 64% | 77% | ▼ 4 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.8K |
| At least 66% | 57% | ▼ 8 | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 3.2K |
| At least 68% | 36% | ▼ 5 | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | |
| At least 70% | 17% | ▼ 3 | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 12.00 |
| At least 72% | 7% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 20.00 |
| At least 74% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 205 | |
| At least 76% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Morgan Griffith
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Democratic Enthusiasm on the Rise in VA09by Freeda Cathcart, Founder of Indivisible Virginia Fast forward to 2026, and Rep. Morgan Griffith (R-VA09) has been a failure in terms of representing his district, and is floundering in this election. Regarding Griffith’s failure to… - Press Release: Morgan Griffith Announces $7.5 Million DOT Grant for Virginia Tech Rail Resilience CenterGriffith announces a federal grant for Virginia Tech to research rail safety and resilience along a key defense corridor. DOT grant awarded to Virginia Tech: The U.S. Department of Transportation’s Federal Railroad Administration has…
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McGuire and Griffith respond to concerned farmers and veterans10 News has the latest local breaking news and headlines from Roanoke, Virginia. Get Roanoke, Va., local TV news, Lynchburg, Va., headlines, national news, videos and more from NBC's local affiliate in Roanoke, Va. WSLS 10 Miles Reese… -
Congressional candidate Joy Powers pitches progressive agenda in ChristiansburgCHRISTIANSBURG — Ninth Congressional District Democratic candidate Joy Powers told Montgomery County residents Tuesday night that she opposes data centers and the current Israeli government and supports universal health care, drawing a… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
Press ReleasesCongressman Griffith continues to voice his support for the Brownfields Program, which delivers millions of dollars to Southwest Virginia communities to help with potential economic development projects. Following the EPA grant notice… -
Two weeks out, fundraising highlights contrasts across Virginia House and Senate contestsVa. (WSET) — With Election Day two weeks away, Democratic challengers Tom Perriello and Beth Macy have raised more than their Republican opponents in two Virginia congressional races, while longtime incumbents hold much larger fundraising… -
Lack of formal debates between local congressional candidates continues as Griffith declines 9th district forum inviteROANOKE, Va. (WFXR) -- Democratic challenger Joy Powers was the only 9th district congressional candidate at a Republican-organized forum in Wytheville Monday night, after incumbent Republican Rep. Morgan Griffith declined the invitation… -
Gov. Spanberger announcesnew Virginia State Conservation Area at Buffalo Mountain in Carroll, Floyd counties10 News has the latest local breaking news and headlines from Roanoke, Virginia. Get Roanoke, Va., local TV news, Lynchburg, Va., headlines, national news, videos and more from NBC's local affiliate in Roanoke, Va. WSLS 10 10 News Digital… - Press Release: Morgan Griffith Signs Fraud-Prevention PledgeGriffith signs anti-fraud pledge: U.S. Rep. Morgan Griffith said he signed Vice President J.D. Vance’s “Pledge to Protect Americans from Fraud,” which outlines six steps aimed at securing federal programs, coordinating anti-fraud efforts…
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W. Va. House of Del. incumbent Mallow to defend seat against LongstrethThe 2026 General Election will take place on Nov. 3. Early voting begins Oct. 21. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. FAIRMONT, W.Va. — Republican… -
Push For Year-Round DST Intensifies: What VA Lawmakers SayDaylight saving time is set to end on Sunday, Nov. 1, but a renewed push in Congress could do away with the spring-forward, fall-back routine that has been a fixture of American life since the 1960s. President Donald Trump is putting…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions