Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-06 House election: Beth Macy vote percent
The odds
42.05%median
32%52%
Median 42.05%Middle half 39.42% – 44.81%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.97% on Oct 19, 42.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 36% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 38% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 355 |
| At least 40% | 71% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 4.00 |
| At least 42% | 51% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 9.00 |
| At least 44% | 32% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| At least 46% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 403 |
| At least 48% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 30.00 | |
| At least 50% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Beth Macy
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Open Forum: Beth Macy will work for usBeth Macy, Congressional candidate for the 6th District, speaks with Gov. Abigail Spanberger during an event organized by the Augusta County Democratic Committee at Grand Caverns on Sept. 20. Macy knows the 6th and its people and their… -
Democrats aim fundraising firehose at Beth Macy weeks before electionWith Election Day mere weeks away and early voting already underway, Democrats are turning the fundraising firehose on Virginia's ruby-red 6th Congressional District in hopes of flipping it blue. Democratic congressional candidate Beth… -
Beth Macy delivers working-class message at rally, urges community to voteFall is in the air, and celebrations are happening across the Valley. The Town of Elkton celebrated the season with its annual Autumn Days Festival, featuring fun activities, local vendors and plenty ... Beth Macy delivers working-class… -
Open Forum: Listen to President TrumpPresident Donald Trump dances at a campaign rally at Heartland Credit Union Arena on Monday in Park City, Kan. Trump believes in tariffs. He has used them frequently to punish allies. If you believe that tariffs are good for the country… -
Student leaders debate abortion, data centers, same-sex marriage and voting rights before November midtermsThe debate featured students who represented different positions of the political spectrum. The Student Government Association (SGA) hosted its annual Dukes Debate, with four surrogates across the political spectrum debating on various… -
Hundreds rally in Grandin Village demanding statewide data center moratoriumMore than 200 Roanoke Valley residents gathered in Grandin Village on Wednesday afternoon, demanding Virginia lawmakers impose an immediate freeze on new data center approvals as Google explores two major regional facilities. Demonstrators… -
6th District race remains a battle of the party basesFormer Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin, left, shakes hands with Virginia Congressman Ben Cline after campaigning for him on Oct. 13 at the West Oaks Farm Market on Middle Road in Frederick County. Beth Macy, Congressional candidate for… -
Analysis: Where Beth Macy, Ben Cline are spending their campaign dollarsUsually, when us politics writers analyze campaign finance reports in a political race, we focus on where the money is coming from, but I wanted to do something different with the most recent data from the Ben Cline-Beth Macy race in the… -
James Madison University students may be key to 6th District Congressional raceJames Madison University students wait in line to vote at Godwin Hall in Harrisonburg on Nov. 5, 2024. Beth Macy speaks to a crowd of about three dozen people at Sage Bird Ciderworks in Harrisonburg Sunday night. Both 6th District… -
Bettors pick a winner in Cline-Macy race; experts discuss whether to trust itBlacksburg, Va. (WDBJ) - You can bet on Congress like the Super Bowl. Whether that bet accurately predicts the winner is another question. According to Kalshi, more than $70,000 has been wagered on Virginia’s 6th Congressional District… -
Congressional candidate Joy Powers pitches progressive agenda in ChristiansburgCHRISTIANSBURG — Ninth Congressional District Democratic candidate Joy Powers told Montgomery County residents Tuesday night that she opposes data centers and the current Israeli government and supports universal health care, drawing a… -
Gov. Spanberger campaigns with Beth Macy at JMU tailgateGov. Abigail Spanberger makes an appearance during a timeout in the first half of an NCAA college football game between James Madison and Georgia State in Harrisonburg on Saturday. Gov. Abigail Spanberger campaigns with Beth Macy at a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions