Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-05 House election: Tom Perriello vote percent
The odds
48.14%median
36%56%
Median 48.14%Middle half 45.72% – 50.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.6% on Oct 19, 48.14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 40% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 42% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 200 | |
| At least 44% | 89% | ▼ 2 | 85¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 402 |
| At least 45% | 82% | ▼ 3 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | |
| At least 46% | 73% | ▼ 4 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| At least 48% | 52% | ▼ 5 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| At least 50% | 30% | ▼ 3 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 60.00 |
| At least 52% | 14% | ▼ 3 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| At least 54% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Tom Perriello
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Former UVA President Jim Ryan leads run to the polls for Tom PerrielloRyan and Perriello led a run of students Thursday morning to the Charlottesville registrar’s office, where the students could cast their early ballots. CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (CVILLE RIGHT NOW) – During his career in education, former… -
Former Rep. Tom Perriello speaks at a campaign event at Lynchburg's Miller ParkLynchburg News and Advance Javascript is required to use this website. Former Rep. Tom Perriello, D-5th District, who is running against incumbent Rep. John McGuire, R-5th, spoke at a campaign event at Lynchburg's Miller Park on Tuesday… -
Tom Perriello joins with Virginia Right to Vote to advocate for voting rightsCHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (WVIR) - Virginians will soon decide whether to add new voting rights to the commonwealth’s constitution. It is one of three constitutional questions on November’s ballot and was highlighted Wednesday in… -
Tom Perriello calls for an end to the Iran War to lower high pricesFormer 5th District Congressman Tom Perriello held a press conference in Vinton this morning to call for an The post Tom Perriello calls for an end to the Iran War to lower high prices first appeared on News/Talk 960-AM & FM-107.3 WFIR… -
At Issue: Oct. 25 focuses on political advertisements, Rep. John McGuire candidate profileROANOKE, Va. (WDBJ) - In less than two weeks, the votes will be in and you will know who will represent your hometown in Congress. But until then, the political advertisements will target you on every device and platform. At Issue this… -
John McGuire offers new defense of ‘no’ vote on 2024 child marriage billFifth District MAGA Congressman John McGuire took to his socials on Wednesday to try to explain why he was the only member of the State Senate to vote against a 2024 bill to raise the minimum marriage age in Virginia from 16 to 18. Grab… -
Perriello asks students to vote with Run to the Polls eventCHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (CBS19 NEWS) -- Early voting numbers are surging across the Fifth District, and the University Democrats at UVA are trying to keep that momentum going with a Run to the Polls event. Fifth District Democratic candidate… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
Why campaign mailings remain popular in the digital ageIf it feels like you’re getting more campaign mailers this year, you’re not wrong. In spite of more modern means of communication, Stephen Farnsworth – a retired professor of political science at the University of Mary Washington -- says… -
GOP Congressman Has To Keep Explaining Why He Voted To Keep Child Marriage LegalThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The 2024 state legislature vote by Rep. John McGuire (R-Va.) is now the subject of an ad by his Democratic… -
Defense Production Act funds steered to GOP-backed energy projectsA Korean War-era law enacted to ensure domestic firms could adequately supply the U.S. military has become a piggy bank of sorts for a range of industrial needs, including energy projects favored by the Trump administration and GOP…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions