Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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VA-04 House election: Jennifer McClellan vote percent
The odds
70.57%median
60%80%
Median 70.57%Middle half 68.15% – 72.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 69.81% on Oct 20, 70.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 64% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 66% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 68% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.5K | |
| At least 70% | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | ||
| At least 72% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 1.8K | |
| At least 74% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 76% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 410 | |
| At least 78% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Jennifer McClellan
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Key Election Day deadlines to remember for Virginia, PetersburgWith Election Day approaching on Nov. 3, Virginia residents have several voting deadlines to consider, including the early voting period, registration and absentee ballots. While many eyes are on the congressional races between Democratic… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
Photos: Buttigeig in Henrico rallying support for Dems running for CongressFormer U.S. Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg greets audience members Monday at the Henrico Theater in Highland Springs. Audience members stand for Pete Buttigieg at a rally with Shannon Taylor, Elaine Luria and Tom Perriello on… -
Buttigieg revs up Va. Democrats to flip the 1st, 2nd and 5thPete Buttigieg came back to Virginia, where he said that as U.S. Secretary of Transportation he did some of his best work, with a simple message: Rep. Jennifer McClellan, D-4th, speaks after a rally hosted by Pete Buttigieg to drum up… -
W. Va. House of Del. incumbent Mallow to defend seat against LongstrethThe 2026 General Election will take place on Nov. 3. Early voting begins Oct. 21. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. FAIRMONT, W.Va. — Republican… -
We’re Sick of It: The Wheels Keep Turning as Protect Our Care Takes the Fight for Affordable Health Care to Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, and OhioUnited States Representatives Suhas Subramanyam (D-VA-10), James Walkinshaw (D-VA-11), Jennifer McClellan (D-VA-04), Bobby Scott (D-VA-03), Sanford Bishop (D-GA-03), Greg Landsman (D-OH-01), and Marcy Kaptur (D-OH-09) Headlined “Sick of… -
Perriello holds 2-1 cash advantage over McGuire. He's the only Democratic challenger in Virginia with financial edge.Of the five Democrats challenging Republican House incumbents in Virginia, only one enters the final month of the campaign with more money in the bank than their opponent — and that contest is a mismatch that raises the prospect of an… -
Push For Year-Round DST Intensifies: What VA Lawmakers SayDaylight saving time is set to end on Sunday, Nov. 1, but a renewed push in Congress could do away with the spring-forward, fall-back routine that has been a fixture of American life since the 1960s. President Donald Trump is putting… -
Candidates in Virginia’s 4th Congressional District differ on Medicaid, abortion rightsAs Election Day approaches — Tuesday, Nov. 3 — healthcare affordability and reproductive rights are among the policy issues facing candidates in Virginia’s 4th Congressional District. Democrat Jennifer McClellan is seeking another term… -
Democratic lawmakers question EPA over exemptions given to some data center power plantsA group of Democratic lawmakers is demanding answers from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency about its recent guidance exempting data center power generation facilities from certain Clean Air Act rules. “EPA is specifically exempting… -
Democrats probe EPA excusing data center power plants from pollution rules(The Center Square) – A group of Democratic lawmakers is demanding answers from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency about its recent guidance exempting data center power generation facilities from certain Clean Air Act rules. “EPA is… - Whitehouse, McClellan Investigate EPA’s Decision to Exempt Data Center Power Plants from Acid Rain ProtectionsWashington, D.C. – U.S. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), Ranking Member of the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works (EPW), and Representative Jennifer McClellan (D-VA-04), last month launched a bicameral investigation into…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions