Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-30 House election: Frederick Haynes vote percent
The odds
77.93%median
68%86%
Median 77.93%Middle half 74.22% – 81.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.67% on Oct 21, 77.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 93% | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 2.2K | |
| At least 72% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 1.3K | |
| At least 74% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 851 | |
| At least 76% | 63% | ▼ 1 | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 4.4K |
| At least 78% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 217 | |
| At least 80% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 82% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 84% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Frederick Haynes
Search ›-
Renewed debate on churches as polling placesNewsMark Wingfield | October 22, 2026 As voters in suburban Kansas City go to the polls for midterm elections, they will not be voting at two locations of Resurrection Church that usually are polling sites. That’s because the multi-site… -
Top 5 unconventional House candidates who are taking their shot at CongressElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. A former NFL kicker running against a doctor who once treated his team and a Dallas pastor who spent decades preaching about social justice are among the more unusual House candidates competing for a seat…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions