Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TX-29 House election: Sylvia Garcia vote percent
The odds
71.94%median
64%82%
Median 71.94%Middle half 68.54% – 75.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.32% on Oct 20, 71.94% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 68% | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 400 | |
| At least 70% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 400 | |
| At least 72% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 2.1K | |
| At least 74% | 34% | 30¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 400 | |
| At least 76% | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| At least 78% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 80% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Sylvia Garcia
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Texas governor candidate Gina Hinojosa brings campaign tour to HoustonGina Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate for governor, rallied with voters in Montrose and at the University of Houston on Thursday, the fourth day in a row that high-profile Democrats have campaigned in the Bayou City since early voting… -
U.S. bishops urge continued immigration protections for Ukrainians, SalvadoransOctober 22, 2026 Emma R.C. Lyons News Briefs 0 Print Ukrainian and El Salvadoran temporary protected status (TPS) beneficiaries will continue to retain immigration protections, pending an announcement “made at the appropriate time,” the… -
Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico speaks to ABC13 during campaign blitz across Houston areaFORT BEND COUNTY, Texas (KTRK) -- Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico closed out the night on Wednesday with a rally at Safari Texas Ranch in Fort Bend County after a day filled with appearances across the Houston area. Earlier in… -
House Democrats Press SEC on AI Trading AgentsHouse Democrats have asked SEC Chair Paul Atkins to explain how the agency is overseeing AI tools that can advise retail investors or execute trades through customer accounts. The June 23 letter targets agentic trading, where AI tools may… -
Rashida Tlaib Bill Targets Flock Cameras Used by Police Across USOct 18, 2026 at 12:16 PM EDT Representative Rashida Tlaib, a Michigan Democrat, has introduced the Get the Flock Out of Our Communities Act, a bill that would prohibit federal money from supporting automated mass surveillance systems… - Morales: On a good day, Democrats can flip the Texas HouseMCALLEN, Texas — State Rep. Christina Morales (D-Houston) believes that "on a good day," Democrats can flip the Texas House of Representatives in the upcoming Nov. 3 midterm elections. Speaking with the Rio Grande Guardian following a…
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200 supporters rally for Hinojosa as Abbott is expected to campaign in Houston-area this weekDemocratic candidate for governor Gina Hinojosa rallies with supporters the day before the state of early voting. The race has tightened in recent weeks. Governor Greg Abbott is also expected to spend time in the southeast Texas this week… -
For Congressional District 29: Sylvia Garcia | EndorsementA surprising number of Hispanic elected officials like to say they’re close with Lorenzo Salgado Araujo’s sons, still grieving the loss of their father who was shot and killed on his way to a construction job this summer. But only U.S… -
Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia Joins Field Hearing in Austin to Examine ICE Shootings Across TexasRayburn House Office Building, 2419, Washington, DC 20515, Email Me, 202-225-1688 AUSTIN, T.X. — Today, Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia (D-TX-29) joined Democratic Members of Congress for a field hearing in Austin to examine shootings… - Press Release: Sylvia Garcia Joins Austin Hearing on ICE Shootings Across TexasGarcia joins Austin hearing: Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia said she joined Democratic members of Congress in Austin for a field hearing focused on shootings involving federal immigration agents in Texas and on calls for greater transparency…
- Angel Moms Honor American Lives Lost at the Hands of Illegals Sunday in HoustonPastor Martha Fierro will gather to pray with Angel Mom Carrie, who daughter is Felicia Ruiz who killer remained free in Venezuela for 27 years this October 30, 2026. Mrs. Ruiz is asking President Trump to extradite Felicia's killer from…
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13.88%median
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45.43%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions