Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-27 House election: Tanya Lloyd vote percent
The odds
42.45%median
32%52%
Median 42.45%Middle half 39.64% – 45.15%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.93% on Oct 24, 42.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 38% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 40% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 42% | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | ||
| At least 44% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| At least 46% | 18% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | |
| At least 48% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 50% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Tanya Lloyd
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Tanya Lloyd wants to represent District 27The South Jetty submitted three questions to the candidates for representative of Congressional District 27, which includes Port Aransas. Tanya Lloyd, a Democrat, provided the responses below. She is running against Republican Michael… -
Cloud running for re-election to CongressThe South Jetty submitted three questions to the candidates for representative of Congressional District 27, which includes Port Aransas. Incumbent Michael Cloud, a Republican, provided the responses below. He is running against Tanya… -
Statesman Editorial Board Texas General Election RecommendationsCentral Texas voters face important choices this November, from the U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton to the governor’s race between Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa. The ballot also includes Austin City Council races in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions