Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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TX-27 House election: Michael Cloud vote percent
The odds
56.11%median
48%68%
Median 56.11%Middle half 53.33% – 58.93%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.06% on Oct 20, 56.11% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 93% | ▼ 1 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 2.9K |
| At least 52% | 85% | ▼ 1 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 1.4K |
| At least 54% | 70% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 913 |
| At least 56% | 51% | ▼ 1 | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| At least 58% | 32% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| At least 60% | 17% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | |
| At least 62% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 64% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Michael Cloud
Search ›-
U.S. Department of War offering nearly $18 million for new water linesA $17.8 million grant is expected to cover the majority of costs to replace nearly 100-year-old water lines in the Leopard Street and Up River Road areas on Corpus Christi's Northside, according to city documents. The large-scale project —… -
Cloud running for re-election to CongressThe South Jetty submitted three questions to the candidates for representative of Congressional District 27, which includes Port Aransas. Incumbent Michael Cloud, a Republican, provided the responses below. He is running against Tanya… -
Tanya Lloyd wants to represent District 27The South Jetty submitted three questions to the candidates for representative of Congressional District 27, which includes Port Aransas. Tanya Lloyd, a Democrat, provided the responses below. She is running against Republican Michael… -
Texas Congressmen Ask RFK Jr. To Investigate Islamic Groups for Grant Abuse and Terrorism TiesThe letter cited a report alleging that fourteen “terror-linked and extremist organizations” received almost $80 million in HHS funding. Four Texas congressmen are asking U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to… -
Rep. Roy Asks HHS to Investigate CAIR, Islamic Groups for Potential Abuse of Taxpayer Grants and Terrorism TiesWashington, D.C. – Today, Congressman Chip Roy (TX-21) sent a letter to Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. asking his department to further investigate the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) and… -
Texas election voter guide: What's on the ballot in Austin on Nov. 3?Texas voters will choose a U.S. senator and governor this November, along with candidates for Congress, the Texas Legislature, county offices and school boards. Two high-profile matchups are Democrat James Talarico against Republican Ken…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions