Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-24 House election: Beth Van Duyne vote percent
The odds
53.9%median
48%66%
Median 53.9%Middle half 51.39% – 56.52%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.16% on Oct 20, 53.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 52% | 70% | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 1.7K | |
| At least 54% | 49% | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 5.00 | |
| At least 56% | 29% | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 5.00 | |
| At least 58% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 60% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 62% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Beth Van Duyne, TX- House
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Rep. Beth Van Duyne: European civil unrest serves as warning against socialist policiesJust The News Rep. Beth Van Duyne: European civil unrest serves as warning against socialist policies "This is the crystal ball of if we do lose this election and you see socialists being elected across the country, expect this to happen."… -
Watch: "Just the News, No Noise" with Rep. Beth Van Duyne and Sam BrownbackTonight's featured guest will be Texas GOP Rep. Beth Van Duyne. Also appearing will be Sam Brownback, Former Ambassador-at-large, International Religious Freedom; Robert Cahaly, Chief Pollster, Trafalgar Group; Alex Ebkarian… -
Alleged plot to kill U.S. Rep. Keith Self raises security concerns among North Texas lawmakersOctober 22, 2026 / 6:11 PM CDT / CBS Texas Gov. Greg Abbott is praising federal authorities who he says stopped a plot to assassinate North Texas Congressman Keith Self. Federal authorities are not releasing details of the alleged plot… -
House bill seeks $140,000 H-1B wage floorWashington, Oct 15 (IANS) A Republican lawmaker has introduced a bill in the US House of Representatives to more than double the salary threshold that lets H-1B-dependent employers skip American-worker protections, a move that could hit… -
CBS Texas | Local Breaking News, Sports, Weather & VideosBreaking Local News, First Alert Weather & I-Team Reports Rep. Beth Van Duyne says she is more security-conscious amid growing threats against elected officials. April Samuels underwent a double mastectomy followed by chemotherapy, and… -
House Bill Seeks $140,000 H-1B Threshold, Could Affect Indian IT FirmsWASHINGTON, DC- A Republican lawmaker has introduced a bill in the US House of Representatives to raise the salary threshold that allows certain H-1B-dependent employers to bypass protections for American workers, a move that could affect… - Indian-origin student among four North Texas teens to win Congress’s top youth honorIndia Abroad® and New India Abroad®, publications of Indian Star LLC, are primarily meant to keep the Global Indian Diaspora informed about what is happening in India, the world and in their own neighborhoods through digital platforms, and…
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Republican Lawmaker Introduces Bill To More Than Double H-1B Salary ThresholdIndian IT professionals seeking H-1B visas to work in the U.S. could face tighter employment requirements under a new proposal in the U.S. Congress that would raise the salary threshold for certain employers to avoid hiring protections for… - What Richardson residents need to know for early midterm votingRichardson residents can cast their midterm election ballots during early voting from Oct. 19-30. Registered voters can visit any polling location in their county during the early voting period. The Nov. 3 midterm election covers federal…
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Beth Van Duyne Targets James Talarico in New Ad Attacking SocialistsRepresentative Beth Van Duyne (R-TX) released a new campaign ad targeting socialists across the country, including Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico (D-TX). With the rise of democratic socialism in recent months, Republicans are…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions