Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-21 House election: Kristin Hook vote percent
The odds
42.54%median
32%52%
Median 42.54%Middle half 39.71% – 45.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.18% on Oct 19, 42.54% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 38% | 87% | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 40% | 73% | 68¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 42% | 55% | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 44% | 37% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | |
| At least 46% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 48% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 50% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Kristin Hook
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Meet the candidates vying to replace Chip Roy in Texas’ 21st Congressional DistrictVoters in Texas’ 21st Congressional District are poised to choose a new representative for the first time since 2018. Republican Mark Teixeira and Democrat Kristin Hook are vying to fill the seat soon to be vacated by Republican Rep. Chip… -
🗳️ Get the most important election updates every weekThis story is part of the San Antonio Report’s 2026 Voter Guide. You can view all of the candidates on the Nov. 3 ballot here. Not all of them were eager to help. Several declined to sit down with us or provide references about their work… -
Your guide to the Kerr County ballot: Early voting starts MondayEarly voting for the Nov. 3 general election begins Monday, Oct. 19. The League of Women Voters of the Hill Country Texas has published its Kerr County Voter Guide, with candidates’ own answers on the district and local races. The League… - Client ChallengeKristin Hook, not Mark Teixeira, will better represent all Texans in Congress San Antonio Express-News
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Progressive scientist Kristin Hook tries again in a Republican strongholdIn late 2018, Kristin Hook, then a biology postdoc researcher at the University of Maryland, had been talking with friends about all the government workers going without pay because of the federal shutdown, fueled by a dispute between… -
Early voting in midterm election begins Monday; here's where to vote and who's on the ballotVoters wait in line to vote at the Goodwin Annex of the Comal County Offices on Oct. 24, 2024. Early voting for the 2026 midterm election begins Monday, Oct. 19, and will run through Oct. 30. Election day is Nov. 3. Comal County polling… - How baseball sparked Mark Teixeira to run for CongressWeeks after his 2012 Major League Baseball season ended, New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira stepped inside a 40,000-square-foot ballroom for a Mitt Romney watch party at the Boston Convention & Exhibition Center. That evening of…
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Meet the 9 Former Federal Workers Running for CongressMembers of the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) union protest against firings during a rally to defend federal workers in Washington, DC on February 11, 2025. This article introduces you to nine contemporary heroes. All…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions