Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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TX-17 House election: Casey Shepard vote percent
The odds
42.65%median
32%50%
Median 42.65%Middle half 39.93% – 45.35%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.21% on Oct 19, 42.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 38% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 40% | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | ||
| At least 42% | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | ||
| At least 44% | 37% | 32¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | ||
| At least 46% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | ||
| At least 48% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Casey Shepard
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KWTX and Hispanic Leaders Network host candidate forumWACO, Texas (KWTX) - KWTX teamed up with the Hispanic Leaders Network to feature candidates in a forum. In the race for U.S. Congress, District 17: Pete Sessions (R) and Casey Shepard (D). In the race for Texas Senate, District 22: David… -
2026 Williamson County Election: Sample BallotThe following races and propositions will appear on November 2026 ballots in Williamson County. Please note, what appears on a voter's actual ballot may vary based on where they live. Ken Paxton — Republican Party James Talarico —… -
Statesman Editorial Board Texas General Election RecommendationsCentral Texas voters face important choices this November, from the U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton to the governor’s race between Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa. The ballot also includes Austin City Council races in…
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45.26%median
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Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions