Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-16 House election: Veronica Escobar vote percent
The odds
65.88%median
58%76%
Median 65.88%Middle half 62.46% – 69.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 65.94% on Oct 24, 65.88% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 62% | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 64% | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 66% | 49% | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 68% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | |
| At least 70% | 21% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 72% | 12% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| At least 74% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Veronica Escobar
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Veronica Escobar Continues Push to Relocate Fort Bliss Data CenterAs the local impacts of data centers remain a key issue in the upcoming midterm election, Representative Veronica Escobar (D-TX) is continuing to fight the Fort Bliss project in El Paso, Texas. "Since March, when my team and I first… -
Press ReleasesCongresswoman Escobar Introduces Bill to Improve Port Staffing, Infrastructure Needs Congresswoman Veronica Escobar (.gov) Congresswoman Escobar Introduces Bill to Improve Port Staffing, Infrastructure Needs This week, Congresswoman… -
Talarico skips Bernie Sanders rally in Texas, campaigns separately as Senate race heats upSen. Bernie Sanders and Beto O'Rourke rally Texas Democrats in El Paso as Senate candidate James Talarico campaigns separately in North Texas. Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talarico skipped a Monday night rally headlined by Sen… -
Bernie Sanders rallies El Paso crowd ahead of Texas midterm electionU.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders stopped in El Paso, drawing a packed crowd to the Abraham Chavez Theatre. The Vermont independent visited El Paso on Oct. 19 as part of his nationwide "Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here" tour. Several… -
Mystery surrounds $1.2 billion Army contract to build huge detention tent camp in Texas desertWASHINGTON — When President Donald Trump’s administration last month awarded a contract worth up to $1.2 billion to build and operate what it says will become the nation’s largest immigration detention complex, it didn’t turn to a large… -
Veronica Escobar touts record against first-time candidate Adam Bauman for Congressional District 16 seatDemocratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Veronica Escobar is seeking a fifth term this November, facing Republican challenger Adam Bauman, a Navy veteran and former Border Patrol agent. Escobar, 57, was unopposed in the March Democratic primary… -
Study cites $3,000+ hit to El Paso families, pointing to tariffs and Iran warEL PASO, Texas (KFOX14/CBS4) — The Joint Economic Committee minority branch, a Democratic congressional group that studies the U.S. economy, released a study finding that El Paso families have spent over $3,000 more under the Trump… -
Opinion: El Paso lost its moon shot. UTEP’s president still owes the city answers.We are three El Pasoans who came home to build a defense technology company. The National Science Foundation award UTEP won in January 2024, worth up to $160 million, was supposed to build the aerospace and defense economy that companies… -
El Paso residents react to proposal to rename the Bridge of the Americas after President TrumpEL PASO, Texas (KVIA) -- Thursday, some border residents expressed divided opinions regarding a local businessman’s proposal to rename the Bridge of the Americas after President Donald Trump. The El Paso Chamber, along with other local… -
Escobar criticizes Chamber effort to rename Bridge of the Americas after TrumpHigh Wind Watch from Thursday evening through Friday afternoon Northeast winds of 30–40 MPH are possible, with gusts up to 65 MPH. EL PASO, Texas (KFOX14/CBS4) — U.S. Rep. Veronica Escobar criticized the El Paso Chamber of Commerce’s… -
María Elvira Salazar Claims Trump Will Support Immigration Reform for Certain GroupsThursday, October 15, 2026 by Sofia Valdez Republican Congresswoman María Elvira Salazar declared on Thursday that President Donald Trump is expected to sign a bill to regularize certain immigrants before his term ends. She also predicted… - María Elvira Salazar claims that Trump will support the legalization of certain immigrantsThursday, October 15, 2026 - 4:54 PM The Republican congresswoman María Elvira Salazar stated this Thursday that President Donald Trump will sign a law to regulate certain immigrants before the end of his term, and that Cuba will be…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions