Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TX-16 House election: Adam Bauman vote percent
The odds
32.85%median
24%42%
Median 32.85%Middle half 30.17% – 35.59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 33.38% on Oct 24, 32.85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 96% | ▲ 3 | 92¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 28% | 91% | ▲ 4 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 30% | 77% | ▲ 1 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 470 |
| At least 32% | 59% | ▼ 3 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 2.2K |
| At least 34% | 39% | ▼ 7 | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | |
| At least 36% | 22% | ▼ 9 | 18¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 5.00 |
| At least 38% | 9% | ▼ 10 | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.00 |
| At least 40% | 7% | ▼ 3 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Adam Bauman
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Veronica Escobar touts record against first-time candidate Adam Bauman for Congressional District 16 seatDemocratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Veronica Escobar is seeking a fifth term this November, facing Republican challenger Adam Bauman, a Navy veteran and former Border Patrol agent. Escobar, 57, was unopposed in the March Democratic primary… -
Your Local Election HQ: Adam Bauman for Texas’ 16th Congressional DistrictAOL.com EL PASO, Texas (KTSM) -- KTSM 9 News is your local election headquarters, and we’re 20 days away from the November election. KTSM 9 News Anchor Andy Morgan is asking questions to both Democrat and Republican candidates in our local… -
Q&A: U.S. representative candidates for District 16 in Nov. 3 midterm electionThe 435 members of the U.S. House of Representatives introduce bills and resolutions, offer amendments and serve on committees. District 16 represents most of El Paso County, minus some neighborhoods in the eastern portions of the Lower…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions