Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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TX-14 House election: Randy Weber vote percent
The odds
57.8%median
50%70%
Median 57.8%Middle half 55.24% – 60.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.55% on Oct 19, 57.8% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 54% | 87% | ▼ 3 | 85¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | |
| At least 56% | 68% | ▼ 10 | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 5.00 |
| At least 58% | 48% | ▼ 12 | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 5.00 |
| At least 60% | 29% | ▼ 11 | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 5.00 |
| At least 62% | 18% | ▼ 4 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 64% | 8% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 66% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Randy Weber
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Trump Energy Secretary Wants U.S. Oil Refineries Back Up and Running to Ease Pain at Gas PumpsEnergy Secretary Chris Wright said the Trump administration is working to reopen shuttered U.S. oil refineries and expand capacity, which officials say would bring down the price of fuel. Speaking in Houston, Wright said that officials are… -
LONESTAR — 10.21.2026 —Texas Revealed to Not Comply With Data Center Pause —Trump Calls Out Republican Leaders— and More...Rep. Randy Weber: "The fires in Paris should be a warning to Western Civilization. If America doesn’t turn the socialist ship around & reject the woke, America-hating culture that comes with it, we’ll soon find ourselves in the same boat… -
Texas Republicans Cite France Riots as Warning About Socialism and 'Woke' PoliticsTexas Republican Representatives Dan Crenshaw and Randy Weber pointed to violent unrest in France as a warning about America's political direction, linking the demonstrations to concerns about socialism, cultural politics, and the future… -
Bartie, Weber differ on taxes, jobs, coastal protectionThurman Bartie and current US District 14 representative Randy Weber With Election Day approaching, Jefferson County voters will decide who will represent them in several state races. To help voters make informed decisions, The Enterprise… -
November General Election candidates and propositionsPeople walk to and from the polling location at the Galveston County Courthouse on election day Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. There will be three major Election Days in 2026. 2026 NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION GALVESTON COUNTY — CANDIDATES Ken Paxton… - Here's what Galveston County voters need to know about early voting for Nov. 3 electionEarly voting begins Oct. 19 for the upcoming Nov. 3 election, which will feature a number of city council and county races across Galveston County. Here’s what voters need to know about the early voting period. Early voting will run from…
- What voters need to know in Brazoria County ahead of early votingEarly voting begins Oct. 19. Here's what voters need to know before heading to the polls in Brazoria County. Early voting will run from Oct. 19-30, 7 a.m.-7 p.m. The last day to apply for a ballot by mail (received, not postmarked) is Oct…
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Weber, Bartie outline priorities ahead of Texas’ 14th Congressional District raceBEAUMONT, Texas — Energy industry growth and the rising cost of living are among the key issues facing voters in Texas’ 14th Congressional District as incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Randy Weber faces Democratic challenger Thurman Bartie in… -
For Congressional District 36: Republican Brian BabinU.S. Congressman Brian Babin speaks during the Congressional Space Medal of Honor ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston Friday, Aug. 28, 2026. Babin, a Republican, is running for a seventh term in Congress. Rhonda Hart speaks… -
Early Voting Begins Monday for 2026 Fall General Election: Texas Voters Hold the Power to Shape HistoryHOUSTON, TX — Democracy is about to clock in for another Texas-sized election, and this time, the stakes stretch from neighborhood streets to the halls of Congress. Beginning Monday, October 19, 2026, at 7 a.m., millions of Texans can… - OC to choose new state legislatorsOrange County will be getting new representation in the 2027 Texas Legislature and early voting for the races, along with others across the state and county, starts on Monday. Longtime State Senator Robert Nichols of Jacksonville and State…
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Texas Congressmen Ask RFK Jr. To Investigate Islamic Groups for Grant Abuse and Terrorism TiesThe letter cited a report alleging that fourteen “terror-linked and extremist organizations” received almost $80 million in HHS funding. Four Texas congressmen are asking U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions