Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TX-13 House election: Mark Nair vote percent
The odds
30.78%median
20%40%
Median 30.78%Middle half 28.4% – 33.22%
How the odds have moved
Median: 30.18% on Oct 20, 30.78% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 24% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 26% | 92% | ▲ 4 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 756 |
| At least 28% | 79% | ▲ 9 | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 3.3K |
| At least 30% | 59% | ▲ 11 | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | |
| At least 32% | 36% | ▲ 10 | 31¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | |
| At least 34% | 18% | ▲ 6 | 13¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | |
| At least 36% | 7% | ▲ 3 | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 38% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Mark Nair
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Incumbent Ronny Jackson, Mark Nair face off for US House District 13, representing parts of Denton CountyRepublican incumbent Ronny Jackson will face Democratic candidate Mark Nair in the race for U.S. Congressional District 13. Early voting is in effect until Oct. 30, and the general election will take place Nov. 3. The 13th Congressional… -
Indian American House Candidates Have Raised Millions In Campaign FundsSAN JOSE, CA – Congressman Ro Khanna has $16.93 million in campaign cash, far ahead of other Indian American candidates for the US House of Representatives, according to Federal Election Commission (FEC) data, even as most major candidates… -
Congressman Ro Khanna’s $16.9m campaign cash leads Indian-American fieldHome » International » Congressman Ro Khanna’s $16.9m campaign cash leads Indian-American field Posted By: Gopi October 14, 2026 Washington, Oct 15 (SocialNews.XYZ) Indian-American Congressman Ro Khanna has $16.93 million in campaign cash…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions