Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TX-12 House election: Craig Goldman vote percent
The odds
57.23%median
50%70%
Median 57.23%Middle half 54.65% – 59.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.81% on Oct 20, 57.23% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 54% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 400 | |
| At least 56% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 1.2K | |
| At least 58% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 662 | |
| At least 60% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 62% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 64% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Craig Goldman
Search ›-
Press ReleasesPresident Signs Congressman Valadao’s Romance Scam Prevention Act into Law Congressman David Valadao (.gov) President Signs Congressman Valadao’s Romance Scam Prevention Act into Law WASHINGTON – Yesterday, President Trump signed… -
Early voting begins Monday, Oct. 19Parker County voters head to the polls for early voting, beginning Monday, Oct. 19. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Voters will choose a U.S. senator, a governor and a slate of statewide officials, along with a county judge and two… -
Goldman seeks second term as Democrat challenges him to represent Fort Worth in US HouseThe race for Texas’ Congressional District 12 features first-term Republican incumbent Craig Goldman and Democrat Angela “Heli” Rodriguez Prilliman. The winner will represent much of Fort Worth in the U.S. House. Early voting starts Oct…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions