Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
TX-11 House election: Claire Reynolds vote percent
The odds
37.48%median
26%46%
Median 37.48%Middle half 34.88% – 40.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.6% on Oct 19, 37.48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 32% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 34% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 36% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 38% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 40% | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 42% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 44% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Claire Reynolds
Search ›-
2026 Candidate Q&A: Texas’s 11th Congressional District August Pfluger and Claire ReynoldsThe following Q&A was sent to each candidate in August 2026. Responses provided were submitted by the Sun’s press deadline in mid-October and fit within a given wordcount. Why did you choose to run for Congress? What part of the district… -
2026 Williamson County Election: Sample BallotThe following races and propositions will appear on November 2026 ballots in Williamson County. Please note, what appears on a voter's actual ballot may vary based on where they live. Ken Paxton — Republican Party James Talarico —… -
2026 November Election Guide: Candidate Q&As, polling locations and moreElection day is fast approaching, and registered voters in Williamson County can cast ballots in local, state and federal races. Early voting runs from October 19-30. Polls are open daily, from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m., except for Sunday, October… -
On the Campaign Trail: Democratic Candidate for U.S. House TX-11 Claire Reynoldsmyfoxzone.com - Man accused of indecency with a child booked in Hardin County On the Campaign Trail: Democratic Candidate for U.S. House TX-11 Claire Reynolds To stream FOX WEST TEXAS on your phone, you need the FOX WEST TEXAS app… -
Statesman Editorial Board Texas General Election RecommendationsCentral Texas voters face important choices this November, from the U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton to the governor’s race between Greg Abbott and Gina Hinojosa. The ballot also includes Austin City Council races in…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.77%median
32%56%
Median 44.77%Middle half 41.27% – 47.5%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions