Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-03 House election: Keith Self vote percent
The odds
55.33%median
48%68%
Median 55.33%Middle half 52.55% – 58.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56% on Oct 20, 55.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 91% | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 932 | |
| At least 52% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 444 | |
| At least 54% | 63% | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 5.00 | |
| At least 56% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 205 | |
| At least 58% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 220 | |
| At least 60% | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 10.00 | |
| At least 62% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 805 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Keith Self
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Alleged plot to kill U.S. Rep. Keith Self raises security concerns among North Texas lawmakersOctober 22, 2026 / 6:11 PM CDT / CBS Texas Gov. Greg Abbott is praising federal authorities who he says stopped a plot to assassinate North Texas Congressman Keith Self. Federal authorities are not releasing details of the alleged plot… -
Rep. Keith Self says he was never in danger from alleged assassination plot by North Texas teenCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Rep. Keith Self says he… -
McKinney teen accused of threatening to shoot North Texas Rep. Keith SelfA 17-year-old from McKinney is in jail after allegedly threatening to shoot U.S. Rep. Keith Self as he campaigns for reelection. Self says he and his family are safe and credits the FBI with acting before anyone was hurt. McKinney teen… - [TX] Congressman Keith Self Introduces Bill to Repeal Diversity Immigration Visa LotteryCongressman Keith Self (TX-03) introduced a bill to repeal the Diversity Immigrant Visa Lottery. The Diversity Immigrant Visa Lottery program offers permanent residence to up to 55,000 applicants annually from countries with historically…
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Rep. Keith Self thanks FBI for thwarting alleged assassination plotU.S. Representative Keith Self (center) speaks during a news conference at Allen City Hall in May 2023. U.S. Rep. Keith Self says the FBI stopped an unspecified threat against him, with Gov. Greg Abbott saying it was from a McKinney teen… -
Congressman Keith Self Introduces Bill to Repeal Diversity Immigration Visa LotteryCongressman Keith Self (TX-03) introduced a bill to repeal the Diversity Immigrant Visa Lottery.The Diversity Immigrant Visa Lottery program offers permanent residence to up to 55,000 applicants annually from countries with historically… - Rep. Keith Self Introduces Legislation to Repeal the Diversity Immigrant Visa Lottery"It stops the 55,000 visas going to underrepresented nations...It is a diversity move that we don't need to have." Congressman Keith Self pulverizes the Diversity Immigrant Visa Program, arguing that foreign policy belongs under executive…
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Rep. Keith Self says he 'will not back down' after 17-year-old arrested in alleged assassination plotNorth Texas Congressman Keith Self told us he was the target of an assassination plot. According to the congressman, a radicalized 17 year old was arrested. The FBI has not released any statements or details on the arrest. Steven Dial… -
Exclusive — Juvenile Arrested by FBI for ISIS Terror Attack Plot May Have Also Planned to Assassinate Sharia-Free America Caucus Co-Founder Rep. Keith SelfA Dallas-area juvenile arrested by the FBI for planning a terrorist attack on behalf of ISIS may also have been planning to assassinate Rep. Keith Self (R-TX), the co-founder and co-chair of the Sharia-Free America Caucus, according to… -
NYC Council votes to end horse-drawn carriage rides in Central ParkCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. NYC Council votes to end… -
Trump administration focuses on farmers amid rising diesel costsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump administration… -
Recommended StoriesNew York City votes to end century-old horse-drawn carriage industry Washington Examiner The New York City Council has voted to end the Big Apple’s horse-drawn carriage industry, which has been around for more than 160 years. The…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions