TN-05 House election: Chaz Molder vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.6K traded · $804 at stake · prices read 54 min ago

The odds

43.5%median
34%54%
Median 43.5%Middle half 40.56% – 46.54%

How the odds have moved

Median: 43% on Oct 20, 43.5% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 36% 96% 92¢ $1.04 1.6K
At least 38% 91% 86¢ 95¢ $1.05
At least 40% 80% 75¢ 84¢ $1.19
At least 42% 64% 59¢ 68¢ $1.47
At least 44% 46% 41¢ 50¢ $2.00 9.00
At least 46% 28% 24¢ 33¢ $3.03 54.00
At least 48% 16% 11¢ 20¢ $5.00 31.00
At least 50% 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09 34.00
At least 52% 4% 7¢ $14.29

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: TN- House, Chaz Molder

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  • At Tennessee District 5 forum, Hatcher rescinds debate promiseWPLN News · 4 days agoTennesseans will not see a debate between any of the state’s Democratic and Republican candidates for Congress. GOP District 5 nominee Charlie Hatcher told reporters that he won’t debate his Democratic opponent after all. The dairy farmer…
  • Candidates in Tennessee’s 5th District Face Off at Campaign ForumNashville Banner · 4 days agoChaz Molder and Charlie Hatcher did something Wednesday night that has become unusual in Tennessee’s statewide and federal politics: They appeared on stage together. After the event, Molder told reporters that he still wants a proper…
  • Who’s Who in the Midterms: Republican Candidates Lead the Financial RaceNashville Scene · 5 days agoRepublican U.S. Sen Marsha Blackburn out-raised her opponent in the 2026 gubernatorial race The most recent campaign finance reports, filed last week, give the first look at candidates’ cash on hand for the general election and provide…
  • Andy Marshall participates in first Breakfast with the MayorsWilliamson Herald · 5 days agoWith early voting underway ahead of the Nov. 3 general election, the Williamson County Republican Party is working to boost voter turnout, support contested campaigns and remind voters of the importance of races across the ballot…
  • Congressional candidates for Shelby County districts raise combined $4.6M in 90 daysTennessee Lookout · 6 days agoThird-quarter reports show massive cash infusions into races for Tennessee districts 9 and 5 Candidates for Tennessee’s three newly drawn congressional seats that represent parts of Shelby County raised a combined $4.6 million in the 90…
  • Wednesday: Molder and Hatcher share a stage for the final time in Spring HillWilliamson Herald · 6 days agoNASHVILLE – The lighter Week 9 of high school football for Williamson County produced minor shifts in the latest Tennessee Sports Writers Association polls, however, a familiar team did crack into a Top 10. SOUTHAVEN, Miss. – For the third…
  • McNeely Brockman Public Relations announces new hireWilliamson Herald · 6 days agoNASHVILLE – The lighter Week 9 of high school football for Williamson County produced minor shifts in the latest Tennessee Sports Writers Association polls, however, a familiar team did crack into a Top 10. SOUTHAVEN, Miss. – For the third…
  • Turnout tops 11% in early voting’s first daysWilliamson Herald · 6 days agoWith early voting underway ahead of the Nov. 3 general election, the Williamson County Republican Party is working to boost voter turnout, support contested campaigns and remind voters of the importance of races across the ballot. Spring…
  • PumpkinFest vendors still going strong after 25 yearsWilliamson Herald · 6 days agoWith early voting underway ahead of the Nov. 3 general election, the Williamson County Republican Party is working to boost voter turnout, support contested campaigns and remind voters of the importance of races across the ballot. Spring…
  • Sculptor brings Franklin Rodeo history to lifeWilliamson Herald · 6 days agoNASHVILLE – The lighter Week 9 of high school football for Williamson County produced minor shifts in the latest Tennessee Sports Writers Association polls, however, a familiar team did crack into a Top 10. SOUTHAVEN, Miss. – For the third…
  • Williamson County Republicans focus on turnout ahead of Nov. 3 electionWilliamson Herald · 6 days agoNASHVILLE – The lighter Week 9 of high school football for Williamson County produced minor shifts in the latest Tennessee Sports Writers Association polls, however, a familiar team did crack into a Top 10. SOUTHAVEN, Miss. – For the third…
  • College Hoops Photo Gallery – UAB men at VanderbiltWilliamson Herald · 7 days agoNASHVILLE – The lighter Week 9 of high school football for Williamson County produced minor shifts in the latest Tennessee Sports Writers Association polls, however, a familiar team did crack into a Top 10. SOUTHAVEN, Miss. – For the third…

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