Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TN-02 House election: Michaela Barnett vote percent
The odds
35.95%median
26%46%
Median 35.95%Middle half 33.31% – 38.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.63% on Oct 19, 35.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 32% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 34% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 36% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 400 | |
| At least 38% | 30% | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| At least 40% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 20.00 | |
| At least 42% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 44% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TN- House, Michaela Barnett
Search ›- Next Thursday, Congressional Candidate Michaela Barnett to host town hall in LaFolletteOct 15, 2026 | News LAFOLLETTE, TN. (WLAF)- It seems some career politicians have forgotten that their position is a job, and that campaigning is the interview for that job. That’s why I’ve been hosting town halls all over Tennessee’s 2nd…
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Mark Proctor, Bill Hancock vie for TN House District 59A competitive state house race in Nashville may serve as a litmus test on scope rather than a simple measure of right vs. left. Tennessee House District 59, which spans much of southern Davidson County from Belle Meade to Cane Ridge, is up… -
Election 2026: Compass Guide to the MidtermsAll of our legislative campaign coverage, free to read and share. Early voting for the Nov. 3 election begins today and runs through Oct. 29. You can find information about early voting locations and hours, and also see sample ballots, at… -
Election 2026: U.S. House District 2Democrat Michaela Barnett is challenging incumbent Rep. Tim Burchett in one of the House of Representatives’ most reliably red strongholds. Democrat Michaela Barnett, a small-business owner and former congressional staffer, is challenging…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions