Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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SC-05 House election: Wes Climer vote percent
The odds
55.45%median
46%66%
Median 55.45%Middle half 52.76% – 58.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.56% on Oct 20, 55.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 50% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 52% | 82% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 1.6K |
| At least 54% | 65% | ▲ 1 | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | |
| At least 56% | 45% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | |
| At least 58% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 100 |
| At least 60% | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 62% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SC- House, Wes Climer
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The Political Beat Candidate Guide: South Carolina House of Representatives District 41District 41 includes parts of Chester, Fairfield, and Richland counties in South Carolina. Annie E McDaniel Annie E McDaniel (WSOC.) Economic Growth and Economic Opportunity: Addressing local economic challenges—such as low-income levels… -
DNC Chairman Ken Martin sees opportunity in South Carolina. Some see work to do.Democratic National Committee chairman Ken Martin talks with South Carolina Statehouse candidate Katie Crosby at an event in Lancaster County on Oct. 18, 2026. Crosby lost to Republican Mike Neese by 22 points in 2024 but expects a… -
DECISION 2026: Michanna Tate Builds Momentum in SC House District 14 Race with Multiple EndorsementsLAURENS COUNTY — Michanna Talley Tate, Democratic candidate for South Carolina House of Representatives District 14, announced today (Oct. 13) that her campaign has received several endorsements from wide-ranging organizations and even… -
Here’s who running to represent District 73 in the SC HouseState Rep. Chris Hart, D-Richland, is running for an 11th term in the state House and is being challenged by Republican nominee Allen Robertson. They are running for a seat that represents parts of Richland County. Hart, 54, is an… -
Climer holds 5-to-1 money edge over Dittmer in open 5th Congressional District raceRepublican state Sen. Wes Climer has raised nearly $1.1 million in his campaign for South Carolina’s 5th Congressional District, about five times the $215,607 raised by Democrat Mallory Dittmer, according to campaign finance reports filed… -
Tate celebrates multiple endorsements in race for SC House District 14Michanna Talley Tate, Democratic candidate for South Carolina House of Representatives District 14, announced this week that her campaign has received several endorsements from wide-ranging organizations, including former DNC Chair Jaime… -
Here’s who running to represent District 78 in SC House$1.99 for 1 month, renewing at 15.99 per month State Rep. Beth Bernstein, a Democrat, Republican challenger Sonia Pollard and Libertarian Angelo Joyner are competing to represent district 78 in the South Carolina House. Bernstein, 56… -
York County candidates vie for South Carolina’s 5th Congressional District seatINDIAN LAND, S.C. — South Carolina’s 5th Congressional District seat is up for grabs, and two York County residents are vying for it. There is a lot of grassroots support for both of these candidates in our area. Democrat Mallory Dittmer… -
Here’s who running to represent District 88 in SC HouseIncumbent state Rep. John Lastinger, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Jeremy Jones are competing to represent the District 88 in the South Carolina state House. Lastinger has represented the Lexington County district since he won a… -
Laurens County Council members endorse Rick Shealy for SC House District 14Laurens County Council Chairman Jeff Carroll and Councilman Matthew Brownlee, who serves as council vice chairman, have endorsed Rick Shealy in his campaign for South Carolina House District 14. Shealy, the Republican nominee, is on the… -
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Here’s who running to represent District 71 in SC HouseIncumbent state Rep. Nathan Ballentine, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Julie Zimmerman are competing to represent the District 71 in the South Carolina state House. District 71 includes portions of Richland and Lexington counties… - Early voting starts Monday in SC. Here’s what to know before heading to the pollsSouth Carolina voters are poised to elect a new governor, a U.S. Senator, and members of the U.S. House of Representatives in November. And many in the Rock Hill region will not wait until Election Day, Nov. 3, to vote. Early voting that…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions