Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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SC-03 House election: Eunice Lehmacher vote percent
The odds
30.91%median
20%40%
Median 30.91%Middle half 28.55% – 33.32%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.94% on Oct 19, 30.91% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 24% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 26% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 28% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 30% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 32% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 34% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| At least 36% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 38% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SC- House, Eunice Lehmacher
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The Political Beat Candidate Guide: South Carolina House of Representatives District 41District 41 includes parts of Chester, Fairfield, and Richland counties in South Carolina. Annie E McDaniel Annie E McDaniel (WSOC.) Economic Growth and Economic Opportunity: Addressing local economic challenges—such as low-income levels… -
DECISION 2026: Michanna Tate Builds Momentum in SC House District 14 Race with Multiple EndorsementsLAURENS COUNTY — Michanna Talley Tate, Democratic candidate for South Carolina House of Representatives District 14, announced today (Oct. 13) that her campaign has received several endorsements from wide-ranging organizations and even… -
Here’s who running to represent District 73 in the SC HouseState Rep. Chris Hart, D-Richland, is running for an 11th term in the state House and is being challenged by Republican nominee Allen Robertson. They are running for a seat that represents parts of Richland County. Hart, 54, is an… -
Tate celebrates multiple endorsements in race for SC House District 14Michanna Talley Tate, Democratic candidate for South Carolina House of Representatives District 14, announced this week that her campaign has received several endorsements from wide-ranging organizations, including former DNC Chair Jaime… -
President Trump will be somewhere in ClemsonIt’s official: President Donald Trump is returning to South Carolina next week to rally support for Sen. Darline Graham and other Republicans ahead of the midterms. The rally will be Wednesday in Clemson. The scheduled start time is 7… -
Here’s who running to represent District 78 in SC House$1.99 for 1 month, renewing at 15.99 per month State Rep. Beth Bernstein, a Democrat, Republican challenger Sonia Pollard and Libertarian Angelo Joyner are competing to represent district 78 in the South Carolina House. Bernstein, 56… -
Here’s who running to represent District 88 in SC HouseIncumbent state Rep. John Lastinger, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Jeremy Jones are competing to represent the District 88 in the South Carolina state House. Lastinger has represented the Lexington County district since he won a… -
Laurens County Council members endorse Rick Shealy for SC House District 14Laurens County Council Chairman Jeff Carroll and Councilman Matthew Brownlee, who serves as council vice chairman, have endorsed Rick Shealy in his campaign for South Carolina House District 14. Shealy, the Republican nominee, is on the… -
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Here’s who running to represent District 71 in SC HouseIncumbent state Rep. Nathan Ballentine, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Julie Zimmerman are competing to represent the District 71 in the South Carolina state House. District 71 includes portions of Richland and Lexington counties… - Meet the 6 candidates running to represent the Upstate in CongressEvery seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is up for election every two years, making for an important election cycle when it comes to political control over Congress. The Upstate of South Carolina has two Congressional seats…
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THREE ELECTED OFFICIALS TO DISCUSS ISSUES ON THURSDAY WEBCASTCHARLESTON, OCT. 12 – Every couple of years, more than 500,000 candidates are elected to positions in state legislatures, county and municipal governments, school districts, and special districts of all kinds: fire, water, library…
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13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions