Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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RI-02 House election: Seth Magaziner vote percent
The odds
60.51%median
48%68%
Median 60.51%Middle half 58.19% – 62.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.5% on Oct 24, 60.51% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 52% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.7K | ||
| At least 54% | 94% | ▼ 2 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 1.2K |
| At least 56% | 91% | ▼ 1 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 3.3K |
| At least 58% | 77% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 600 |
| At least 60% | 56% | ▼ 1 | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | |
| At least 62% | 33% | ▼ 1 | 29¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| At least 64% | 15% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 25.00 |
| At least 66% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: RI- House, Seth Magaziner
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Dist. 23 Race: Traversie, MutoChowdah? Cabinets? Find it here! [CREDIT: WP Composite] Dana Traversie and Bill Muto are competing to be the next representative for RI House Dist. 23.WARWICK, RI — Voters in Warwick’s Dist. 23 race will choose between Democrat Ward 6 City… -
Pell Center survey: Foulkes leads for governor, but Loughlin leads Matos in the Bristol/Newport regionDemocrat Helena Foulkes leads the governor’s race with 39% among likely Rhode Island voters, and the lieutenant governor’s contest is a statistical tie, according to a survey released Tuesday by Salve Regina University’s Pell Center… -
Magaziner, Mellor clash over affordability, Iran war and Jan. 6 in congressional debateby MADDIE HEIMSCH, NBC 10 NEWS CRANSTON, R.I. (WJAR) — Rep. Seth Magaziner and Republican challenger Vic Mellor clashed over affordability, the war in Iran and the Jan. 6 Capitol attack during a 10 News Conference debate Friday. Magaziner… -
Jared Golden’s unspent campaign funds are going across the countryWhen U.S. Rep. Jared Golden announced he wouldn’t run for reelection this year, he said he planned to use the nearly $2 million in his war chest to support Democrats across the country. So far, he’s put his money where his mouth is. In its… -
2026 RI House District 41 Candidate Questionnairecranstononline.com -
Rhode Island 2026: Democrat Foulkes Leads Independent Block by 9 Points for Governor, Toss-up for Lt. GovVoters Support Nuclear Energy, Oppose Data Centers A new Emerson College Polling/WPRI-TV 12 News survey finds Democrat Helena Foulkes with 44% support, 35% independent Ken Block, and 10% Republican Aaron Guckian. Nine percent are…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions