Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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OK-02 House election: Josh Brecheen vote percent
The odds
67.95%median
62%82%
Median 67.95%Middle half 65.44% – 70.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 71.91% on Oct 20, 67.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 66% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 68% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 70% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| At least 72% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 74% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 78% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 80% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OK- House, Josh Brecheen
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What is on the ballot for LeFlore County voters in the 2026 election?LEFLORE COUNTY, Okla. (KNWA/KFTA) — Voters in LeFlore County will head to the polls next week to vote in local, county and state races, along with two ballot questions. Early voting starts Oct. 28 and it runs through Oct. 31. Oklahoma… -
Brandon Wade for Oklahoma’s 2nd Congressional DistrictDemocrat Brandon Wade of Bartlesville says rising living costs, concerns over industrial development and the need for stronger constituent representation are among the key issues driving his campaign for Oklahoma’s 2nd Congressional… -
Republicans compare Trump record on immigration enforcement with Biden admin's ahead of midtermsWith over two dozen states having begun early voting, a group of U.S. House Republicans is highlighting the party’s immigration policy wins since the second Trump administration took office. U.S. Reps. Josh Brecheen, R-Okla., and David… -
Republicans tout immigration enforcement record ahead of midtermsWith over two dozen states having begun early voting, a group of U.S. House Republicans is highlighting the party’s immigration policy wins since the second Trump administration took office. U.S. Reps. Josh Brecheen, R-Okla., and David… -
A record number of Native Americans are running in 2026 midterm electionsCANDIDATE: Former Department of the Interior Secretary Deb Haaland, seen on Sept. 13, is running for governor in New Mexico. Paul Ratje/For The Washington Post A Native American woman has never held a governorship or a seat in the U.S…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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10.55%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions