Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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OH-15 House election: Don Leonard vote percent
The odds
48.6%median
36%56%
Median 48.6%Middle half 46.05% – 51.29%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.43% on Oct 19, 48.6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 44% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 46% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 48% | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | ||
| At least 50% | 35% | ▼ 2 | 32¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 706 |
| At least 52% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | ||
| At least 54% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Don Leonard
Search ›-
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… - Stand Up for Ohio Spends $1.2 Million Supporting DemocratsThe group's website describes statewide electoral programs focused on Black, young, and working-class voters in Ohio's urban centers. Its reported independent expenditures have focused on canvassing, voter guides, leaflets, and other…
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Republicans face growing midterm election concerns as new map shows several GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats in just one weekRepublicans are facing a fresh warning sign ahead of the midterms, as new election ratings show a number of GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats. The latest changes affect races across multiple states, including Iowa… -
No Kings rallies in Columbus push early voting, door-to-door outreachAt No Kings rallies around Columbus and the rest of the country, the locally organized but nationally branded protests were all themed around encouraging voter turnout. Several events throughout the day of Oct. 17 in the Columbus area… -
Map Shows 14 GOP-Held House Seats Shifting Toward Democrats in Past WeekOct 16, 2026 at 03:23 PM EDT Republicans have been dealt another blow as data compiled from the Cook Political Report shows 14 U.S. House seats in 10 states currently held by Republicans are shifting toward Democrats 18 days before the… -
Is CAIR Trying to Buy a Congressional Seat in Central Ohio?There’s a Muslim temple in Columbus, Ohio, that appears to be trying to buy itself a seat in Congress. In Ohio’s 15th congressional district, which includes much of the Columbus area, there is a candidate who is trying to pass himself off… - Miami County Election Guide 2026Miami County Voter Guide: Candidates and Issues on the Nov. 3, 2026, Ballot Compiled by This Local Life. Sources, Besides the Miami County BOE, Linked Below this Article TROY - Miami County voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to…
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Ohio Democrat Congressional Candidate Don Leonard Embraces Support From Ilhan Omar And Her Jihadist AlliesOhio Democrat 15th Congressional District candidate Don Leonard has built quite an extreme policy record that would make Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Abdul El-Sayed blush. In addition to making hateful remarks about President Trump and… - Your View: Where candidates stand on corporate powerTo the editor, Do voters know where candidates stand on corporate power and big money in politics? As hyperscale data centers move into Ohio communities, this is an important question. Move to Amend Miami County, Ohio surveyed 50…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions