Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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OH-10 House election: Kristina Knickerbocker vote percent
The odds
47.86%median
36%56%
Median 47.86%Middle half 45.44% – 50.14%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.45% on Oct 19, 47.86% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 44% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 46% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 48% | 49% | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | ||
| At least 50% | 26% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | |
| At least 52% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 54% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Kristina Knickerbocker
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Stand Up for Science Endorses Veteran and Nurse Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District RaceSUFS endorsements promote candidates who will protect science and democracy, replace anti-science members of Congress in 2027 Stand Up for Science Endorses Veteran and Nurse Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District Race… -
DCCC launches ads against Mike Turner in red Ohio district - Live Updates - POLITICOThe Democratic group is spending in a Dayton-area district that Turner won by 18 points in 2024. House Democratsâ campaign arm is launching its first ad buy against 12-term GOP Rep Mike Turner in his western Ohio district as they seek to… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
DCCC Jumps Into Three New House RacesThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding spending, as it drops $16 million in coordinated TV ads in the second to last week of the campaign. In Arizona’s 2nd, where the DCCC is now spending, Rep. Eli Crane faces Jonathan… -
Republicans face growing midterm election concerns as new map shows several GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats in just one weekRepublicans are facing a fresh warning sign ahead of the midterms, as new election ratings show a number of GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats. The latest changes affect races across multiple states, including Iowa… -
Turner calls for Ukraine satellite investigation, touts Delphi pension pushU.S. Rep. Mike Turner called Sunday for a congressional investigation into disruptions to satellite communications used by Ukraine’s military, while emphasizing his local economic record and efforts to restore Delphi retirees’ pensions as… -
Guns Down, Prayers Up walk in response to gun violenceDAYTON, Ohio (WKEF) -- Faith leaders and Dayton residents took to the streets for the Guns Down, Prayers Up Walk, hoping to bring neighbors together and encourage a future without gun violence. Tina Mobley helped lead the effort, saying… -
Map Shows 14 GOP-Held House Seats Shifting Toward Democrats in Past WeekOct 16, 2026 at 03:23 PM EDT Republicans have been dealt another blow as data compiled from the Cook Political Report shows 14 U.S. House seats in 10 states currently held by Republicans are shifting toward Democrats 18 days before the… -
GOP targets Dem running for Dayton congressional seat over disability claimsKristina Knickbocker is the Democratic nominee challenging U.S. Rep. Mike Turner, R-Dayton. CONTRIBUTED Montgomery County Republicans are pressing the Democrat challenging U.S. Rep. Mike Turner, R-Dayton, in the Nov. 3 election over her… -
GOP cites OSU complaints, raises allegations about Knickerbocker’s work historyKristina Knickbocker is the Democratic nominee challenging U.S. Rep. Mike Turner, R-Dayton. Less than a month before the Nov. 3 general election, Montgomery County and national Republicans are firing a new salvo at the Democratic candidate… - Your View: Where candidates stand on corporate powerTo the editor, Do voters know where candidates stand on corporate power and big money in politics? As hyperscale data centers move into Ohio communities, this is an important question. Move to Amend Miami County, Ohio surveyed 50…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions