Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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OH-08 House election: Warren Davidson vote percent
The odds
54.55%median
46%66%
Median 54.55%Middle half 51.79% – 57.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.55% on Oct 19, 54.55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 50% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 52% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 913 | |
| At least 54% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 56% | 36% | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | ||
| At least 58% | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | ||
| At least 60% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 62% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Warren Davidson
Search ›-
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
House Dems Target Hegseth For Impeachment If They Win MidtermsAuthored by AG News Staff via American Greatness, House Democrats are already plotting to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth if they regain control of Congress in November, making the Trump administration official a top target of their… -
GOP bitter over blown chance to keep governorship: 'We now deserve to lose this race'US Sen. Jon Husted, (R-OH), Rep. Warren Davidson, (R-OH), and gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy attend a campaign rally at the Sharonville Convention Center, in Sharonville, Ohio, US October 21, 2026. Jacquelyn Martin/Pool via… -
Vance says Republicans shouldn't complain about Ramaswamy ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged motherVice President JD Vance speaks during a campaign rally at the Sharonville Convention Center, Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Sharonville, Ohio. Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dr. Amy Acton, second from left, greets a supporter as she… - Vance says he’s ‘disgusted’ by GOP pushback to Ramaswamy ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged motherVice President JD Vance speaks during a campaign rally at the Sharonville Convention Center, Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Sharonville, Ohio. Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dr. Amy Acton, second from left, greets a supporter as she…
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GOP official's office flooded with complaints after Vivek Ramaswamy's MAGA abuser adUS Sen. Jon Husted, (R-OH), Rep. Warren Davidson, (R-OH), and gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy attend a campaign rally at the Sharonville Convention Center, in Sharonville, Ohio, US October 21, 2026. Jacquelyn Martin/Pool via… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… - Vance Blindsided by Fake MAGA Heckler: ‘You Suck!’The incident was the latest in a string of rally disruptions as Trump and Vance barnstorm the country ahead of the midterm elections. A protester disguised in a suit and red MAGA cap came within striking distance of Vice President JD Vance…
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Ramaswamy pledges tax and utility cuts at Miami County GOP picnicRepublican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy attended a Miami County Republican Party picnic Sunday, Oct. 18, in Tipp City. AIMEE HANCOCK / STAFF Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy promised lower property taxes and… -
Vance's Anti-Fraud Pledge Goes Nationwide — Cabinet, Governors & Congress All Sign OnThe urgency behind the effort is anchored in a single figure. Rep. Warren Davidson, signing alongside scores of House colleagues, stated that the Trump administration has uncovered more than $260 billion in fraud across federal programs… -
Ramaswamy, other GOP candidates expected at Miami County picnic in Tipp CityRepublican nominee for governor Vivek Ramaswamy (center) hosts a press conference Wednesday, Sept. 23, alongside running mate and Senate President Rob McColley, R-Napoleon, and House Speaker Matt Huffman, R-Lima. Republican gubernatorial… - Miami County Election Guide 2026Miami County Voter Guide: Candidates and Issues on the Nov. 3, 2026, Ballot Compiled by This Local Life. Sources, Besides the Miami County BOE, Linked Below this Article TROY - Miami County voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions