Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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OH-07 House election: Max Miller vote percent
The odds
45.28%median
38%58%
Median 45.28%Middle half 43.05% – 47.78%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.43% on Oct 20, 45.28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.9K |
| At least 42% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 186 |
| At least 44% | 65% | ▼ 2 | 63¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 2.6K |
| At least 46% | 42% | ▼ 2 | 39¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 30.00 |
| At least 48% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 72.00 |
| At least 50% | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 810 |
| At least 52% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 533 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 200 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Max Miller
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The “Girl Dad” Running to Oust Max Miller in Ohio’s Messiest Congressional RaceAbby Vesoulis3 seconds ago Sipping on an iced caramel latte with whipped cream and talking about “squadding up” with his daughters on Fortnite, Brian Poindexter doesn’t necessarily fit the stereotype of a “manly man,” which is how another… - Max Miller Is Still Crawling Through The MudExcept that we don’t want to; give the man points for emphatically not giving up and stepping down. He doesn’t care about the scandals. He says he can do the job. But his record in Except that we don’t want to; give the man points for…
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Major upset vowed as Max Miller continues to flounder in scandal onslaughtA blue-collar union ironworker thinks he might just be able to topple a Republican incumbent Congressman with millions of dollars to spend on his own campaign. Why? Because the Republican is Rep. Max Miller. Tensions are mounting in a… -
Recommended StoriesObama rips Ramaswamy after Acton ad: ‘No office that is worth stopping that low’ Washington Examiner CLEVELAND — Former President Barack Obama excoriated Ohio Republican gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy for his attack ad with… -
Martinichin vying as write-in to represent Ohio's 7th Congressional DistrictAshland Source recently conducted interviews with three of the four candidates running to represent Ashland County in Ohio’s 7th Congressional District. Our interviews will publish in the following order: Ashland Source did not receive… -
POLITICO Pro: In competitive House races, Medicaid cuts are a potent issue, Democratic pollster findsThe poll assessed voters' views in the districts of GOP Reps. Zach Nunn, Tom Barrett, Max Miller and Rob Bresnahan, as well as Democrat Don Davis. -
Ohio Republicans’ statewide bus tour rolls as Ramaswamy ad with Acton’s mother divides the partyBy JULIE CARR SMYTH and MIKE CATALINI, Associated Press With the backing of Vice President JD Vance and at President Donald Trump’s urging, Ramaswamy has continued a $4 million campaign to air the ad on streaming platforms and TV. During… -
Democrats for Mike Rogers Employs Firm of ‘MAGA Warrior’Now known as TFM, the PAC also revealed even more Republican donors in its latest financial disclosure. THE SUPER PAC FORMERLY KNOWN as “Democrats for Mike Rogers” might be aiming its efforts at recruiting Dems to defeat Abdul El-Sayed in… -
DNC Targets Battleground Districts With August ‘Organizing Summer’ CampaignThe Democratic National Committee (DNC) unveiled a monthlong organizing campaign during Congress’s August recess to highlight opposition to the GOP’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Dubbed “Organizing Summer,” the effort, which was announced… -
Ohio Governor’s Race: Trump Backs Ramaswamy Ad Siding with Opponent’s Indicted Childhood Rapist“Vivek Ramaswamy is now using that personal trauma as an effort to exploit what she went through and win this race,” says Abby Vesoulis, a reporter for Mother Jones. “He’s currently polling beneath Amy Acton, which shows, I think, that… -
Rep. Steven Horsford Presses Congress To Restore Full Gambling Loss Tax DeductionA federal tax change that could leave some gamblers owing tax even in a losing year is still awaiting action in Congress. Nevada Rep. Steven Horsford is continuing to push lawmakers to restore the full gambling loss tax deduction after a… -
US lawmakers urge Trump to ask Musk to provide Ukraine with Starlink for strikes on Russian ballistic missile launchersДолучайтеся до клубу УП! A bipartisan group of nearly two dozen members of the US House of Representatives has urged President Donald Trump to ask Elon Musk to give Ukraine access to Starlink systems to target missile launchers on Russian…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions