Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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OH-07 House election: Brian Poindexter vote percent
The odds
53.87%median
42%62%
Median 53.87%Middle half 51.55% – 56.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.26% on Oct 19, 53.87% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 50% | 87% | 85¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 90.00 | |
| At least 52% | 72% | 69¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 2.7K | |
| At least 54% | 49% | 46¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 56% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 15.00 |
| At least 58% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 60% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Brian Poindexter
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The “Girl Dad” Running to Oust Max Miller in Ohio’s Messiest Congressional RaceAbby Vesoulis3 seconds ago Sipping on an iced caramel latte with whipped cream and talking about “squadding up” with his daughters on Fortnite, Brian Poindexter doesn’t necessarily fit the stereotype of a “manly man,” which is how another… -
Brian Poindexter, the Democrat running against U.S. Rep. Max Miller, talks about the race in Brook Park on Aug. 10, 2026.The Lufkin Daily News Brian Poindexter, the Democrat running against U.S. Rep. Max Miller, talks about the race in Brook Park on Aug. 10, 2026. - Burke man suffers possibly life-threatening injuries in motorcycle crash on Highway 69… -
Major upset vowed as Max Miller continues to flounder in scandal onslaughtA blue-collar union ironworker thinks he might just be able to topple a Republican incumbent Congressman with millions of dollars to spend on his own campaign. Why? Because the Republican is Rep. Max Miller. Tensions are mounting in a… -
These Working Class Dems Are Running to Help Their CommunitiesDemocrats are fielding a strong slate of working class candidates. Take it from Bob Brooks, a firefighter who’s running for the House in Pennsylvania: “There’s a lot of people that are running for office right now. They’ve been working… -
UAW Members Out in Force in Key Midterm Districts Could Shape the Next CongressThe 2026 field program is also an opportunity to hear from members and develop a working-class-led political agenda for the new Congress in 2027. The UAW is prioritizing must-win races in districts where the union’s membership density… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… - Stand Up for Ohio Spends $1.2 Million Supporting DemocratsThe group's website describes statewide electoral programs focused on Black, young, and working-class voters in Ohio's urban centers. Its reported independent expenditures have focused on canvassing, voter guides, leaflets, and other…
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Ironworker Challenges Rep. Max Miller as the Ohio Congressman Fights to Hold Seat Amid Abuse ClaimsOhio Republican congressman Max Miller faces a tough reelection challenge from Democratic union ironworker Brian Poindexter Ironworker Challenges Rep. Max Miller as the Ohio Congressman Fights to Hold Seat Amid Abuse Claims The 75-year-old… - Rep. Max Miller talks of ‘family heartbreak’ in ad, denies domestic abuseBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Ohio Republican’s…
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Issue 3: Ohio voters to decide whether to add voter ID requirement to state constitutionCleveland 19 News Issue 3: Ohio voters to decide whether to add voter ID requirement to state constitution Cuyahoga County pushes back on ballot misinformation ahead of election Ohio Decides: Candidates for Ohio Senate Husted v. Brown… -
FULL INTERVIEW: Brian Poindexter talks economy, negative ads in Ohio’s 7th District raceCleveland 19 News FULL INTERVIEW: Brian Poindexter talks economy, negative ads in Ohio’s 7th District race FULL INTERVIEW: Husted addresses HB 6 ties, rising prices in Ohio Senate push Akron voters to decide on expanding police oversight… - Dark horse challenger Poindexter outraising Miller in 7th District raceBrian Poindexter, the Democrat challenging U.S. Rep. Max Miller in one of the mostly closely watched races in the country, is raising more – and has more cash left – than Miller heading into the final weeks before the Nov. 3 election…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions