Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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OH-06 House election: Michael Rulli vote percent
The odds
61.55%median
54%74%
Median 61.55%Middle half 58.88% – 64.21%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.6% on Oct 22, 61.55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 58% | 83% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| At least 60% | 66% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | |
| At least 62% | 46% | ▲ 1 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 64% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | |
| At least 66% | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 7.00 |
| At least 68% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Michael Rulli
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House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
GRANITE Act Gains First House Cosponsor Against CensorshipRep. Thomas Massie joins the GRANITE Act as its first House cosponsor. A bill that seeks to protect US citizens and companies from foreign governments' online censorship orders has gained its first cosponsor in the House of… -
Republican Congressman’s Bill Seeks to Penalize Governments That Recognize Indigenous Peoples DayRep. Michael Rulli (R-Ohio) has introduced a second bill seeking to restrict federal funding for state and local governments that recognize Indigenous Peoples Day instead of Columbus Day, after his similar 2025 proposal failed to advance… -
View / Trump returns to Ohio as Democrats try to claw back his advantageYOUNGSTOWN, Ohio — Toward the end of Monday night’s MAGA rally, after Jon Husted heard Donald Trump compliment his jawline and his “ass,” he thanked the president for making Ohio so much easier for Republicans to win. “The Youngstown area… -
Andy Biggs Cosponsors Bill to Crack Down on Medicaid FraudRepresentative Andy Biggs (R-AZ) is cosponsoring a bill introduced by Representative Michael Rulli (R-OH) to crack down on Medicaid fraud. The Medicaid Fraud Prevention Act requires states to conduct an annual Medicaid fraud risk… -
Biggs Backs Legislation To Strengthen Medicaid Fraud Oversight Amid Arizona Audit Delays - AZ FREE NEWSU.S. Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ-05) is backing legislation that would require states to conduct annual Medicaid fraud risk assessments and implement corrective plans to address weaknesses in their programs. Amid his campaign for Arizona… -
With Ohio midterms 3 weeks away, gas prices loom large for votersWith the midterm election three weeks away, gas prices are emerging as a major issue for voters in Ohio, with residents and candidates pointing to rising costs as a key concern. At a rally in Mahoning County on Monday headlined by… -
The Latest: Trump travels to Alaska to campaign for GOP candidates ahead of midtermsRep. Michael Rulli, R-Ohio, gestures as President Donald Trump recognizes him at a campaign rally at the Covelli Centre, in Youngstown, Ohio, Monday, Oct. 12, 2026. A protester yells before being removed as President Donald Trump speaks at… -
Trump Announces Federal Support To Keep Local Energy Provider Online In OhioPresident Donald Trump said at an Oct. 12 rally in Youngstown, Ohio, that the departments of Energy and Commerce will help keep SOBE Thermal Energy Systems, a troubled downtown steam utility, running as cold weather approaches. "You're… -
The Latest: Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle resigns, vows to challenge allegations of improper conductRep. Michael Rulli, R-Ohio, gestures as President Donald Trump recognizes him at a campaign rally at the Covelli Centre, in Youngstown, Ohio, Monday, Oct. 12, 2026. A protester yells before being removed as President Donald Trump speaks at… -
The top photos of the day by AP's photojournalistsA protester shouts slogans as he climbs onto a police barricade during a march by opposition parties toward the Supreme Court demanding the resignation of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar in New Delhi, India, Monday, Oct. 12… -
The Latest: Kimberly Guilfoyle, Trump’s ambassador to Greece, is asked to resign, White House saysRep. Michael Rulli, R-Ohio, gestures as President Donald Trump recognizes him at a campaign rally at the Covelli Centre, in Youngstown, Ohio, Monday, Oct. 12, 2026. A protester yells before being removed as President Donald Trump speaks at…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions