Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
Install
OH-05 House election: Brian Shaver vote percent
The odds
40.81%median
30%50%
Median 40.81%Middle half 38.17% – 43.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.08% on Oct 20, 40.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 34% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 36% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 38% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 40% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | ||
| At least 42% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 44% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 46% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 48% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Brian Shaver
Search ›- Musk sets sights on KapturSpending big to unseat longtime Congresswoman FINDLAY â The world's richest man is, once again, trying to defeat U.S Elon Musk tried to help Republican candidate Derek Merrin in 2024, but Kaptur won a narrow victory In the current…
-
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
Kaptur, Merrin battle again in U.S. 9th District raceA focused rematch might be one way to describe the race this fall for the 9th U.S. District seat that is about to represent all area counties in the U.S. House of Representatives. "About" is the operative word because starting in January… - Constitutional rights at stake, candidates warn at Fremont forumFREMONT – Candidates weren't pulling punches at the Latino Community Meet the Candidates event, warning that basic Constitutional rights were in jeopardy and problems that come from big money in politics. Five candidates presented Oct. 7…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
Median 45.8%Middle half 43.1% – 48.62%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.45%median
0%16%
Median 10.45%Middle half 8.22% – 13.31%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.5%median
30%65%
Median 45.5%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions