Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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OH-02 House election: David Taylor vote percent
The odds
67.79%median
58%78%
Median 67.79%Middle half 64.15% – 71.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 68.56% on Oct 20, 67.79% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 62% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.7K | |
| At least 64% | 76% | 72¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 50.00 | |
| At least 66% | 63% | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 10.00 | |
| At least 68% | 49% | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | ||
| At least 70% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 72% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 74% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 76% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, David Taylor
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House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
Hemel MP reflects on success of inaugural “Future Leaders” summer schoolDavid Taylor, Member of Parliament for Hemel Hempstead, has reflected on the success of his inaugural three-day “Future Leaders” Summer School, which gave 24 local students a hands-on introduction to community campaigning, local government… -
Columbia County voters to decide several contested races in November electionColumbia County voters will head to the polls in November to decide several local races, including contested elections for Magnolia mayor and city council. Early voting began Monday, with Election Day set for Tuesday, Nov. 3. In Magnolia… -
Ouachita County voters to decide several contested races in November electionOuachita County voters will head to the polls in November to decide several contested municipal races, including mayoral elections in Camden, Chidester and East Camden. Early voting began Monday, with Election Day set for Tuesday, Nov. 3… - Fundraising Update: Representative David Taylor just disclosed $530.0K of new fundraisingRepresentative David Taylor just disclosed $530.0K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 229th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 88.4% came from individual…
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Nannup could take forest town reputation to the grave under natural burial proposalNannup could be taking its reputation as a forest town to a whole new level, with a proposal to allow residents to be laid to rest among the trees set to go before the council this week. Nannup could be taking its reputation as a forest… -
Union County voters to decide several contested races in electionUnion County voters will head to the polls in November to decide several contested local races, including elections for El Dorado mayor, city council, county judge and sheriff. Early voting begins Monday, with Election Day set for Tuesday… -
GOVERNOR ORDERS FLAGS LOWERED IN HONOR OF DAVID TAYLOROctober 15, 2026 3:40 a.m. Pursuant to the United States Flag Code, Governor Tina Kotek ordered flags at Oregon public institutions to be flown at half-staff on Saturday, October 17th in honor of David Taylor, who died on August 29th… -
Labour finally turns on the GreensLabour finally found some gumption today as it ramped up its attacks on the Greens’ anti-Semitic ‘Zionism is Racism’ policy.… Labour finally turns on the Greens Labour finally found some gumption today as it ramped up its attacks on the… - Press Release: Dave Taylor Introduces Bill to Increase Federal Lands Revenue Share for OhioTaylor introduced legislation to increase state revenue from federal lands energy development, with a companion Senate bill. Bill introduced in Congress: Rep. Dave Taylor said he introduced the Acquired Lands Revenue Modernization Act…
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Gov. Kotek orders flags at half-staff for OR wildlife officer who died helping Oklahoma fire evacuationsSALEM Ore. (KPTV) - Governor Tina Kotek has ordered flags lowered to half-staff this Saturday in honor of David Taylor. The federal wildlife officer from Oregon died in August while helping with evacuation efforts for a fire in Oklahoma… -
Oregon flags lowered for Scio man killed in Oklahoma fireA flag flies at half-staff for the death of former President Jimmy Carter at the US Capitol building on January 2. SALEM, Ore. - Gov. Tina Kotek ordered flags at Oregon public institutions lowered to half-staff on Oct. 17 in honor of David…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions