Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NY-26 House election: Tim Kennedy vote percent
The odds
66.49%median
58%76%
Median 66.49%Middle half 63.92% – 68.76%
How the odds have moved
Median: 68.17% on Oct 20, 66.49% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 62% | 88% | ▲ 2 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | |
| At least 64% | 75% | ▲ 4 | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 405 |
| At least 66% | 56% | ▲ 8 | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 3.1K |
| At least 68% | 32% | ▲ 4 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 136 |
| At least 70% | 14% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 72% | 5% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Tim Kennedy
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Hochul kicks off early voting in Buffalo, rallies Democrats ahead of Election DayGovernor Kathy Hochul returned to her hometown of Buffalo Saturday to kick off the final 10 days of her reelection campaign, rallying Erie County Democrats before casting her ballot on the first day of early voting in New York. Hochul… -
On the day DHS told Kennedy it was building a ‘hard-sided’ unit in Batavia, ICE committed $7.2 million for a tentBuffalo, New York · Western New York Buffalo · Western New York [PREMIUM] DHS told Rep. Tim Kennedy on Sept. 29 that construction of a ‘hard-sided’ 100-bed unit in Batavia hadn’t begun. The same day, ICE obligated $7.18 million for a… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
The Editorial Board: The next Congress could reverse Trump's most destructive policiesErie County Executive Mark Poloncarz talks about the 2027 budget proposal being tight, with "dark clouds" on the horizon due to the federal government and the One Big Beautiful Bill. Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz talked to reporters… -
The Congo as a site of capital accumulation: Erik Prince and the privatization of warMonthly Review Home » The Congo as a site of capital accumulation: Erik Prince and the privatization of war A lot of news has circulated across various global media platforms following reports that militias affiliated with Erik Prince—the… -
Washington’s ‘big shift’ is landing on New York’s books, and counties still don’t know what Albany will pass downBuffalo, New York · Western New York Buffalo · Western New York BUFFALO — Starting today, New York’s Medicaid computer system begins sorting lawfully present immigrants by who pays for their care: Washington, or New York alone. The largest… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
State awards funds to rehab WNY walking trails and sidewalksAMHERST, NY — More than $97 million in federal funding has been awarded for projects across New York State, including $11.4 million for three initiatives in Western New York. RELATED: Hochul signs bill to raise tax credits for New York… -
When the Signal Goes Dark: Ukraine’s Dependence on American Satellite Technologyor $34.99 per year (save 27%) BY Donald Bolduc / October 17, 2026 AI-generated summary of this article. AI can make mistakes — read the full article. Billed monthly. Cancel anytime. Tim Kennedy Was Shot in Congo. Inside Erik Prince’s… -
A year after Trump’s promise, New York is still owed $87 million in counterterror grantsWASHINGTON — A year after President Donald Trump promised to reverse cuts to New York’s counterterrorism grants, the state is still owed $87 million. Among the programs waiting on that money is the one Erie County says keeps police radios… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in…
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15.83%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions