Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NY-24 House election: Claudia Tenney vote percent
The odds
59.15%median
50%68%
Median 59.15%Middle half 56.5% – 61.74%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.05% on Oct 20, 59.15% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 54% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 56% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 2.6K | |
| At least 58% | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| At least 60% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | ||
| At least 62% | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | ||
| At least 64% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 66% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Claudia Tenney
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
This is why NY looks ‘worse’ than everywhere else besides California: Rep Claudia TenneyFox Business This is why NY looks ‘worse’ than everywhere else besides California: Rep Claudia Tenney Rep. Claudia Tenney, R-N.Y., discusses the midterm elections and the political landscape in New York on ‘Kudlow.’ Rep. Claudia Tenney… -
Watch: "Just the News, No Noise" with Sen. Roger Marshall and John McLaughlinTonight's featured guest will be Mississippi GOP Sen. Roger Marshall. Also appearing will be pollster John McLaughlin, New York GOP Rep. Claudia Tenney, pollster Scott Rasmussen, and Kalshi's David Piegaro. The show runs weekdays at 6 p.m… -
How to watch congressional debate between Claudia Tenney, Alissa EllmanOSWEGO â Rep. Claudia Tenney, R-Cleveland, and Democratic opponent Alissa Ellman will square off Tuesday night in their only debate in the race to represent the 24th Congressional District. Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney, right, and… -
Tenney, Ellman spar in heated congressional debate for 24th DistrictOswego County News Now Democrat Alissa Ellman, left, and Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney participate in a debate Tuesday at WROC-TV, Channel 8 in Rochester. Tenney and Ellman are running to represent the 24th District, which includes Oswego… -
Practice and timing: Inside the debate prep for 24th Congressional DistrictRepublican Rep. Claudia Tenney, right, and Democratic challenger Alissa Ellman are running to represent the 24th Congressional District, which includes the four GLOW region counties. They will debate each other tonight in Rochester. Rep… -
Tenney, Ellman spar over the economy, health care and more at NY-24 debateROCHESTER — In the only televised debate of the 24th Congressional District race on Tuesday, Congresswoman Claudia Tenney sparred with Democratic challenger Alissa Ellman on numerous issues, including the economy, health care and foreign… -
2026 Election Day: Voting information for the Rochester areaRochester, N.Y. — Early voting begins Saturday, Oct. 24 across New York state, giving voters a chance to cast their ballots ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. Several statewide offices are up for election this year, including governor… -
Joseph ConnorsOswego County News Now Joseph F. Connors, 93, of Smith Road, passed away on Friday, October 16, 2026, at Crouse Community Center. He was born on May 14, 1933, in Oswego, the son of Charles and Alexandra (Netters) Connors. Javascript is… -
Eagles are not being punished for handling of Jalen Hurts' blood clots, AP source saysOswego County News Now Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) passes the ball during an NFL football game against Jacksonville Jaguars in London Sunday Oct. 11. In a statement released Tuesday, the NFL said officials had been in… -
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts joins list of athletes diagnosed with blood clotsOswego County News Now Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) stands on the field during an NFL football game against Jacksonville Jaguars in London Sunday Oct. 11. Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium… -
Tenney, Ellman spar in only debate for 24th Congressional District raceIn New York’s sprawling 24th Congressional District, this year’s election features a staunch supporter of President Donald Trump versus a political newcomer. Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney faced off with Democratic challenger Alissa…
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15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 17.96%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
45.8%median
36%56%
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Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.55%median
0%16%
Median 10.55%Middle half 8.3% – 13.35%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
Median 13.67%Middle half 10.39% – 17.39%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions