Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-23 House election: Nick Langworthy vote percent
The odds
59.85%median
50%70%
Median 59.85%Middle half 57.19% – 62.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60% on Oct 20, 59.85% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 54% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 56% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 2.1K | |
| At least 58% | 69% | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| At least 60% | 49% | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | ||
| At least 62% | 30% | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| At least 64% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 66% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Nick Langworthy
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Langworthy holds a 37-to-1 cash edge in NY-23 as Gies outraises him again in the final stretchBuffalo, New York · Western New York Buffalo · Western New York Rep. Nick Langworthy entered the last weeks of the NY-23 race with nearly $2 million in the bank to Aaron Gies’ $54,000. But FEC filings show the Democrat has outraised the… -
In Langworthy Country, the Money Flocks to GiesHome » In Langworthy Country, the Money Flocks to Gies From Aaron Gies for Congress, pictured is Gies with members of the Allegany County Democratic Committee Olean, NY — Aaron Gies, the Democratic candidate for New York’s 23rd… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… - American Bus Association Lobbies On Motorcoach TariffsThe association's third-quarter 2026 in-house filing reports $260,000, up $180,000 from the $80,000 reported in the second quarter of 2026. Compared with the third quarter of 2025, when the same registrant reported $70,000, the in-house…
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Rep. Langworthy makes case for third term, emphasizing tax cuts, affordability - Olean Times HeraldOLEAN — U.S. Rep. Nick Langworthy is running for a third term by emphasizing tax cuts, local control over development and constituent service while drawing contrasts with Democratic challenger Aaron Gies over health care, spending and… -
Aaron Gies: Government should work for people and their communities - Olean Times HeraldWELLSVILLE — Democratic congressional candidate Aaron Gies advocated expanding Social Security funding, establishing universal health care and conditioning U.S. aid to Israel during a town hall attended by about 300 people Tuesday night at… - Right Thinkers Republican panelists speak out against socialism at get-out-the-vote meetingALLEGANY — The conservative Right Thinkers group held a discussion on socialism with a panel of four elected officials at its meeting Monday that turned into a Republican get-out-the-vote rally. Moderator and founder Nate Smith read…
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Langworthy: New radios through $72K grant will help Olean city firefighters do their jobs - Olean Times HeraldOLEAN — U.S. Rep. Nick Langworthy visited the Olean City Fire Department on Monday to highlight a $72,000 grant from the Federal Emergency Management Agency that will fund new radios for firefighters. Fire Chief Eric Maurouard, who took a… -
No Kings event in Olean rallies voters for midterm election - Olean Times HeraldOLEAN — As part of the No Kings Nationwide Day of Action on Saturday, more than 120 people turned out for Voices of the People Movement's event on East Street across from Bradner Stadium. Organizer Jessica Davis said area residents turned… -
Upstate voters sour on Hochul, Buffalo’s hometown governor, as downstate megaprojects draw billionsBuffalo, New York · Western New York Buffalo · Western New York BUFFALO — When Kathy Hochul took the oath as governor in 2021, Western New York gained something it had gone more than a century without: a governor who calls Buffalo home… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions