Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
26.85%median
14%34%
Median 26.85%Middle half 23.46% – 29.15%
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NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent
The odds
16.62%median
6%26%
Median 16.62%Middle half 14.79% – 18.53%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 8% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 10% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 12% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 14% | 86% | ▼ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 405 |
| At least 16% | 59% | ▼ 1 | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 1.0K |
| At least 18% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| At least 20% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| At least 22% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 24% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Stylo Sapaskis
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.