Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-15 House election: Ritchie Torres vote percent
The odds
79.72%median
70%90%
Median 79.72%Middle half 77.59% – 81.65%
How the odds have moved
Median: 80% on Oct 19, 79.72% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 72% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 74% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 76% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 78% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 610 | |
| At least 80% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 800 | |
| At least 82% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 84% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 86% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 88% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Ritchie Torres
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Donald Trump made serious inroads with Bronx residents. Here's why.Updated on: November 7, 2024 / 8:59 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK -- Democrats have watched their margin of victory shrink in New York City in three consecutive general elections. According to the CBS News data team, a 79.3% margin of… -
Democratic Rep. Ritchie Torres shares his experience after his employees found a suspicious substance in his mailLaw enforcement agencies are investigating suspicious substances mailed to dozens of election and congressional offices nationwide. Representative Ritchie Torres sits down to share how his office will be taking precautions Democratic Rep… -
Bronx officials blast anti-Zionist groups’ planned protest in RiverdalePlus, two Jewish candidates square off in a South Brooklyn State Assembly race. -- The post Bronx officials blast anti-Zionist groups’ planned protest in Riverdale appeared first on Jewish Telegraphic Agency. A version of this piece first… -
Giant Crypto Super PAC Funnels Big Money to Former Trump Official’s Firm to Support… Democrats?The Fellowship PAC routed more than half a million dollars in support of Democrats through a firm co-founded by former Trump crypto adviser Bo Hines. The Fellowship PAC, a super PAC fueled by crypto industry cash that once lavished praise… -
Crypto-Funded Fellowship PAC Shifts Spending Exclusively to DemocratsFellowship PAC, a crypto industry-backed political action committee that once praised President Donald Trump and promised a $100 million war chest, has shifted its spending exclusively to Democratic candidates since June. The super PAC has… -
Gay congressman presses HUD Secretary Scott Turner over agency’s retreat from LGBTQ+ housing protectionsIn a letter shared exclusively with The Advocate, Rep. Ritchie Torres asks whether HUD’s shrinking backlog reflects resolved discrimination cases or complaints dismissed without full investigations. Housing and Urban Development (HUD)… - Makeup breakup for Lauder, BibiIn today’s Daily Kickoff, we break down the final polls before Israelis cast their ballots next week, report on Pope Leo XIV‘s commitment to combat antisemitism, and spotlight the Americans vying for Knesset seats in the Israeli election…
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Trump calls Democrat Annie Andrews a bigoted anti-trans slur at South Carolina rally for Darline GrahamRallygoers laughed as Trump used the slur against the cisgender pediatrician, who has publicly opposed transgender inclusion in women’s sports. President Donald Trump gestures as he speaks during a campaign rally at T. Ed Garrison Arena in… -
Trump Justice Department obscures trans victims of prison sexual abuse while singling out trans perpetratorsSurvivors describe repeated assaults and pleas for help met with blame as the administration moves to weaken protections against sexual violence behind bars. Entrance to the Bedford Hills Correctional Facility in Bedford Hills, N.Y… -
Lindsey Graham opposed LGBTQ+ rights. Three men say he paid them for sexOne participant says he was 17 during an alleged encounter. U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) attends a press conference at the U.S. Capitol on August 05, 2022, in Washington, DC. Christopher Wiggins is the politics and news editor at… -
"Alarming"/ US Congressman Torres: Deeply concerned about police violence during protests in TiranaFor nine days, young people in Albania have been involved in violent clashes with police. Prime Minister Edi Rama suspects that Antifa is behind them. Experts see no evidence to support this claim. Torres calls for a reduction in tensions…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions