Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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NY-14 House election: Diamant Hysenaj vote percent
The odds
25.7%median
16%36%
Median 25.7%Middle half 23.42% – 27.95%
How the odds have moved
Median: 25.16% on Oct 19, 25.7% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 18% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 20% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 22% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 24% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 26% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 28% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 30% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 32% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 34% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Diamant Hysenaj
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Republican Diamant Hysenaj challenges AOC, claims she’s absent for NY-14 votersDiamant Hysenaj, the Republican nominee for U.S. Congress in New York’s 14th Congressional District (NY-14) in the Nov. 3 general elections, says he’s committed to being a reliable presence for his community. Hysenaj, who previously… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Everything to know about Election Day 2026 in QueensEarly voting is set to begin in Queens for the 2026 midterm elections on Saturday, Oct. 24, and run through Sunday, Nov. 1. With early voting and the Nov. 3 Election Day around the corner, Queens residents should know which candidates and… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
AOC Puts $1 Million Behind El-Sayed in High-Stakes Michigan Senate RaceHer campaign holds nearly $17.4 million in cash on hand, recent financial disclosures show. At a recent New York fundraiser, Ocasio-Cortez framed El-Sayed’s solid chances as evidence that progressives can compete nationally. (Angelina… -
Will AOC Challenge Schumer in 2028? She Certainly Has a Cash Advantage.The congresswoman’s committee reported more than double that of the senior New York senator on Thursday. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has a massive campaign cash reserve as she ponders her political future. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP… -
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions