Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-10 House election: Brad Lander vote percent
The odds
83.37%median
76%94%
Median 83.37%Middle half 81.53% – 85.19%
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.52% on Oct 19, 83.37% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 78% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 80% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 82% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 84% | 41% | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | ||
| At least 86% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 88% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 19.00 | ||
| At least 90% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 92% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Brad Lander
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Congressional District 10 Election: Brad Lander vs. Jennifer Moorewww.chelseanewsny.com Congressional District 10 Election: Brad Lander vs. Jennifer Moore Democrat Lander the former City Comptroller and a Brooklyn Council Member is being opposed by a born and raised Republican Brooklynite whose campaign… -
Democratic congressional candidate Brad Lander detained by IDF in West BankCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Democratic congressional candidate Brad Lander detained by IDF in West Bank Prosecutors present calls, texts in Eric Ulrich… -
Brad Lander got his wish: IDF ‘detention’ — and undeserved attentionAs anyone who has ever harvested olives will tell you, the activity is a fun fall tradition. It requires a few people with functioning arms, sometimes a rake to reach the tallest branches, and a blanket or tarp to catch the fruit when it… -
Congressional candidate Brad Lander detained by IDF in West BankBrad Lander, the Democratic nominee for a New York City congressional seat, said Wednesday he was briefly detained by the Israel Defense Forces while he was harvesting olives with other volunteers in the West Bank. Lander, the former New… -
Leaked internal document shows what Brad Lander was really up to in IsraelBy Ira Stoll, The Washington Free Beacon An internal document from the group that organized Democratic congressional candidate Brad Lander’s trip to Judea and Samaria describes Israel as “genocidal” and engaged in “ethnic cleansing” and… -
Israeli Foreign Ministry mocks ‘detained’ lefty House nominee Brad Lander for ‘harvesting headlines’Israel’s Foreign Ministry mocked a lefty congressional nominee after he claimed he’d been “detained” by the Israeli Defense Forces on Wednesday for working on an olive harvest in the West Bank. Brad Lander, the former Big Apple comptroller… - MAMDANI’S ANTI-ISRAEL TIRADE: NYC Mayor Defends Brad Lander, Levels “Genocide” Accusation Against Israel Over Olive Harvest DetentionsMAMDANI’S SHAMELESS ANTI-ISRAEL TIRADE: NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani launched another vicious anti-Israel tirade, rushing to defend Brad Lander and his entourage of so-called “rabbis.” Apparently, Mamdani thinks throwing the word “rabbis” into…
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NY congressional nominee Brad Lander says he was detained by the IDF in the West BankLefty congressional nominee Brad Lander claimed Wednesday he was “detained” by the Israeli Defense Forces while working on an olive harvest in the West Bank. Lander, the former Big Apple Comptroller who is running for Congress in the Nov… -
80 Israelis and Americans, including NY Democrat Brad Lander, detained in West BankIsraeli security forces, including military and police, declared a closed military zone around a olive grove and escorted activists and rabbis away from the area before detaining them near the Israeli settlement of Beitar Illit in the… -
A day after his detention, St. Louis native Brad Lander makes a new pledgeJustin Tesser named next head of Saul Mirowitz Jewish Community School I went to Sababa looking for a story. What I found was something else. A rabbi was fired after just one month. Was it because of her fiancé? Who was the first Jew in… -
Ilhan Omar Upset IDF Detained Congressional Candidate Brad Lander for Picking Olives With Rabbis@bradlander Try to look scared in your next selfie. @bradlander Were there any survivors? Fortunately for him, the IDF released him and his rabbi buddies from "custody." … should all be released immediately. To be clear: Palestinians face…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions