Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NY-07 House election: Claire Valdez vote percent
The odds
76.44%median
68%88%
Median 76.44%Middle half 74.23% – 78.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.61% on Oct 20, 76.44% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 72% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 74% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | ||
| At least 76% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 715 | |
| At least 78% | 31% | ▼ 1 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 4.6K |
| At least 80% | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 71.00 | |
| At least 82% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 10.00 | ||
| At least 84% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 86% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Claire Valdez
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Mamdani campaigns with Hochul in Brooklyn ahead of early voting’s startMayor Mamdani and Gov. Hochul hit McCarren Park in Williamsburg, a lefty stronghold for the mayor, to urge New Yorkers to vote on Friday, hours before the start of early voting. Enthusiasm — mostly for the mayor — rippled through the park… -
Everything to know about Election Day 2026 in QueensEarly voting is set to begin in Queens for the 2026 midterm elections on Saturday, Oct. 24, and run through Sunday, Nov. 1. With early voting and the Nov. 3 Election Day around the corner, Queens residents should know which candidates and… -
The Machine Behind the Democratic Party’s Radical TransformationFollow the Money: The Donors, Politicians and PACs Seeking to Bring Down the “American Empire”. WATCH to find out what’s inside our latest report A network of far-left political action committees (PACs) is working with Islamic groups to… -
The Socialists Want to Hold Congress HostageNot sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. If Democrats win the House by a few seats, DSA-backed members want to withhold their votes from Jeffries unless he agrees to defund ICE and end aid to… -
Don’t get fooled againDon’t be fooled by Democrats’ talk on affordability. THEY caused this crisis under Biden when going to war on fossil fuels. They opened the borders and 10 – 15 million illegal immigrants poured in, including over 300,00 unaccompanied… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
Mamdani's 'unforgivable' policy shift on policingYou will now start receiving email updates 08/14/2026 03:23 PM EDT Some of Mayor Zohran Mamdani's closest allies are frustrated by how he's shifted on policing since taking office. | Andres Kudacki/AP WITH FRIENDS LIKE THESE: Mayor Zohran… -
Election hopefuls on the ballot in QueensWhether they head out to the polls on Nov. 3 or cast their ballots in advance, Queens voters have a lot to weigh in on this Election Day. Voters across Queens will soon start making their picks for governor, attorney general, state Senate… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… -
Turnout Surge among GOP Seniors Could Be Midterm’s Biggest SurpriseVoter enthusiasm surveys are showing signs of a gathering “Silver Wave” of older voters surging to the polls on November 3 for the 2026 midterm elections and voting in greater numbers for Republican candidates than they have in recent… -
Older Voters Head to Polls in Huge Numbers and They’re Voting RepublicanVoter enthusiasm surveys are showing signs of a gathering “Silver Wave” of older voters surging to the polls on November 3 for the 2026 midterm elections and voting in greater numbers for Republican candidates than they have in recent…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions