Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NY-01 House election: Nick LaLota vote percent
The odds
52.32%median
42%62%
Median 52.32%Middle half 50.18% – 54.11%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.22% on Oct 19, 52.32% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 48% | 94% | ▼ 2 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 50% | 77% | ▼ 2 | 73¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | |
| At least 52% | 55% | ▼ 3 | 53¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 5.00 |
| At least 54% | 26% | ▼ 2 | 24¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 465 |
| At least 56% | 8% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 638 |
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 102 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Nick LaLota
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Canddiate Profile: Rep. Nick LaLota bids for third termCongressman Nick LaLota declined the Times Review Editorial Board’s invitation for an in-person or virtual interview, citing scheduling conflicts. He instead provided written responses to emailed questions. In his run for a third, two-year… -
Chris Gallant puts affordability first in bid to unseat Nick LaLotaPolitical newcomer Chris Gallant knows what it means to serve his country. Whether he can translate that experience into effective representation for East End voters is the challenge facing the Democrat as he tries to unseat Republican… -
Rep. Nick LaLota touts tax cuts, federal dollars for East End in bid for third termCongressman Nick LaLota declined the Times Review Editorial Board’s invitation for an in-person or virtual interview, citing scheduling conflicts. He instead provided written responses to emailed questions. In his run for a third, two-year… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Candidate Profile: Newcomer Gallant seeks to unseat Rep. Nick LaLotaPolitical newcomer Chris Gallant knows what it means to serve his country. Whether he can translate that experience into effective representation for East End voters is the challenge facing the Democrat as he tries to unseat Republican… -
Mamdani accused of ‘openly helping illegal aliens evade ICE’ in Spanish language videoNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani sparked outrage Friday when he unveiled a social media video where the socialist shared tips in Spanish on how the public should handle encounters with federal immigration authorities. “If you encounter… -
Trump vows at Long Island rally to win deep-blue New YorkUpdated on: September 19, 2024 / 9:24 AM EDT / CBS New York UNIONDALE, N.Y. — Former President Donald Trump held a campaign rally Wednesday at Nassau Coliseum on Long Island, where he told his supporters, "we are going to win New York."… -
‘Sedition’: Mamdani Ignites Absolute Fury In MAGA World With Spanish Language Video On ICENew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani (D) sparked fury on the right on Friday by releasing a video in Spanish with tips for New Yorkers about to handle an encounter with ICE. Mamdani explains that ICE agents cannot enter private spaces… -
NYC's woke mayor Zohran Mamdani slammed for giving illegal immigrants advice on how to avoid being caught by ICENew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani has been accused of giving illegal immigrants advice on how to 'evade' Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Mamdani, a Democratic Socialist, is under fire from political opponents after uploading a… -
Lack of debates in 1st Congressional District race on Long Island exposes new political realityOctober 20, 2026 / 7:21 PM EDT / CBS New York There appears to be a disturbing trend in both local and national politics. Analysts say candidates no longer want to debate, perhaps because they are afraid of getting caught in "gotcha"… - Suffolk Democrats' leadership battle intensifies, spills into town races weeks before Election DayThe polarizing fight over Suffolk County Democratic Party leadership has extended to town committees just weeks before Election Day, with supporters of longtime Chairman Rich Schaffer winning in Brookhaven but backers of his rival winning…
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Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions