Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NY-01 House election: Chris Gallant vote percent
The odds
47.17%median
36%56%
Median 47.17%Middle half 45.3% – 49.09%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.92% on Oct 19, 47.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 44% | 89% | 85¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 300 | |
| At least 46% | 68% | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 531 | |
| At least 48% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 50% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 52% | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 325 | |
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Chris Gallant
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Chris Gallant puts affordability first in bid to unseat Nick LaLotaPolitical newcomer Chris Gallant knows what it means to serve his country. Whether he can translate that experience into effective representation for East End voters is the challenge facing the Democrat as he tries to unseat Republican… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
These 4 congressional races in NY, NJ could be midterm shockersDemocrats are banking on scoring at least some modest gains in the NYC metro area in the looming midterm congressional elections for the House of Representatives amid President Trump’s deep unpopularity. But what if the expected blue wave… -
39th annual High Heel Race set for Oct. 27Allegations involving Ric Grenell raise questions about pay-for-play in White House Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie… -
Chefs for Equality fundraiser celebrates 15 yearsAllegations involving Ric Grenell raise questions about pay-for-play in White House Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie… -
Calendar: October 23-29Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie Andrews denounces trans athletes after Trump targets her On Republican Long Island, gay… -
Comings & GoingsAllegations involving Ric Grenell raise questions about pay-for-play in White House Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie… -
Baltimore teacher clears key hurdle in defamation lawsuit against Libs of TikTok founderAllegations involving Ric Grenell raise questions about pay-for-play in White House Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie… -
25th annual Best Of LGBTQ DC Award winnersAhead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie Andrews denounces trans athletes after Trump targets her On Republican Long Island, gay… -
Federal authorities indict Va. state Sen. Louise LucasAllegations involving Ric Grenell raise questions about pay-for-play in White House Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie… -
Judge rules Harford County schools must keep ‘Flamer’ on library shelvesAllegations involving Ric Grenell raise questions about pay-for-play in White House Ahead of the midterms, Meta has paid at least 29 anti-LGBTQ accounts for their posts JD Vance suggests James Talarico is gay during Texas rally Annie… -
The Democrat congressional candidate who won’t be kink-shamedGallant didn’t. In an interview with the New York Times, the military pilot, union leader and firefighter called it his “Kim Kardashian moment,” said his friends have always known he is kinky and refused, flatly, to perform the shame he…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions