Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NV-02 House election: Teresa Benitez-Thompson vote percent
The odds
47.88%median
36%56%
Median 47.88%Middle half 45.82% – 49.88%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.08% on Oct 20, 47.88% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 44% | 90% | ▲ 2 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 6.4K |
| At least 46% | 74% | ▲ 3 | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 9.00 |
| At least 48% | 49% | ▲ 4 | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | |
| At least 50% | 24% | ▲ 3 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| At least 52% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 14.00 |
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NV- House, Teresa Benitez-Thompson
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Teresa Benitez-Thompson: Your hometown candidateSecond Congressional District candidate Teresa Benitez-Thompson says that if elected she will work âto help make all our lives more affordable for hardworking Nevadans.â Javascript is required to use this website. A Lee Enterprises… - Amodei Calls Flippo a ‘Fraud’ on CNN as Nevada’s GOP Stronghold Turns Competitive Amid Early Voting Edge for DemocratsNevada’s 2nd Congressional District has never elected a Democrat since its creation, but candidate controversies and early voting numbers have made the race unusually competitive By Megan Barth, October 23, 2026 11:45 am Retiring…
- Gibbons is wrong on Flippo, and Flippo is wrong for Nevada | OpinionRe: "The oath does not expire," Oct. 22: Jim Gibbons is right about one thing: The oath does not expire. The rest of his admonition of Rep. Amodei is simply incorrect. I have lived in Nevada Congressional District 2 for over 50 years, and…
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Trump calls Benitez-Thompson crazy during tele-rallyRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - President Trump called NV-02 candidate Teresa Benitez-Thompson crazy during a tele-rally. In remarks made during the rally, Trump said: KOLO 8 News Now reached out to the campaign for Teresa Benitez-Thompson, who… -
Ethics complaint against David FlippoKTVN He still has not submitted his financial disclosure to the U.S. House clerk. Benitez-Thompson calls out Flippo for late finance filings Federal Elections complaints have been filed against Republican David Flippo for failing to submit… -
Benitez-Thompson calls out Flippo for late finance filingsShe pledges to bring changes to congress to fight corruption. Another federal election complaint has been filed against Republican Congressional District 2 candidate David Flippo. As of Wednesday, he still has not submitted his financial… -
Our top takeaways from Nevada’s new campaign finance reportsBy Eric Neugeboren, Tabitha Mueller, Mini Racker, and Isabella AldreteThe Nevada Independent Millions of dollars poured into Nevada’s congressional and statewide races from July through September, according to campaign finance reports… -
Benitez-Thompson talks affordability, housing and water as she runs for CongressRENO, Nev. (KOLO) — Teresa Benitez-Thompson, the Democratic nominee for Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, said affordability will be her top priority if elected to Congress, citing trade policy, housing and water as key issues for… -
Nevada House candidate’s campaign credited donation to woman who died in 2024, report saysWednesday, Oct. 21, 2026 | 2 a.m. Republican congressional candidate David Flippo’s campaign attributed part of a contribution to a woman who died in 2024, according to a Wall Street Journal report based on federal campaign finance… -
False attack ad says Benitez-Thompson backed early release for killersBenitez-Thompson actually helped create new protections for victims of violent crime. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson did not support the early release of violent criminals from prison, contrary to claims in a new attack ad. The ad is… -
This Democrat Thinks You're a Cockroach If You Support Gun RightsTheresa Benitez-Thompson is a Democrat who wants to represent Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District and has positioned herself as someone who stands up for her constituents. The problem is that she doesn’t want her constituents to be able to… -
Looking at recent 2026 Nevada campaign finance reportsBoth campaigns have seen money pouring in. We are exactly two weeks away from Election Day, and campaigns have seen money pouring in, according to the latest contribution and expense reports. The biggest takeaway is how much money is being…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions