Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NM-03 House election: Martin Zamora vote percent
The odds
40.19%median
30%50%
Median 40.19%Middle half 36.85% – 43.62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.59% on Oct 19, 40.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 34% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 36% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 38% | 68% | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | ||
| At least 40% | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | ||
| At least 42% | 36% | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | ||
| At least 44% | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | ||
| At least 46% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 48% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NM- House, Martin Zamora
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NM House District 40The Taos News Joseph L. Sanchez (I) There was a problem reporting this. All comment authors MUST use their real names. Posts that cannot be ascribed to a real person Click below to support our sponsors Sorry, an error occurred. Account… -
Doreen GallegosEconomic development and affordability: New Mexico has enjoyed strong state revenues and significant economic-development investment, yet many residents continue to struggle with housing, food, utilities and other costs. What should the… - RPLA To Host New Mexico Congressional District 3 Candidate Martin Zamora In Los Alamos Oct. 15Los Alamos Daily Post RPLA News:The Republican Party of Los Alamos (RPLA) will host its honored guest speaker NM CD-3 candidate and NM State Rep (D63), Martin Zamora at 6:30 p.m 15, at Open Door Bible Church.The first part of the meeting…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions