Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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NJ-12 House election: Gregg Mele vote percent
The odds
32.52%median
24%42%
Median 32.52%Middle half 30% – 35.19%
How the odds have moved
Median: 31.94% on Oct 19, 32.52% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 28% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 30% | 75% | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 205 | |
| At least 32% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 34% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| At least 36% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| At least 38% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 40% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NJ- House, Gregg Mele
Search ›-
Three Years After October 7, a Clear Choice in NJ-12On February 26, 1993, Gregg Mele was at his desk in a glass office tower a block from the World Trade Center when the building began to shake “like nothing I’ve ever felt before.” For several confusing minutes, nobody knew whether to stay… -
Insider NJ’s Morning Intelligence Briefing: 10/12/2026QUOTE OF THE DAY: "I would still consider Van Drew’s district to be an uphill climb for Democrats. If the blue tsunami continues to rise and continues to get taller, then it could sweep up a district like this. There’s a lot of seawall…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions